IND 4.5 o223.5
NY -4.5 u223.5
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

New Orleans @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Brandon Ingram
B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds

As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's feeble 96.5 points per game as the visting team places fewest in the league this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA). Brandon Ingram will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's feeble 96.5 points per game as the visting team places fewest in the league this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA). Brandon Ingram will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P.J. Washington
P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds

The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied 5.4 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, creating a strong matchup. P.J. Washington has attempted 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. The matchup against the Pelicans may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (10th-most in the league). P.J. Washington will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production for all stats.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied 5.4 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, creating a strong matchup. P.J. Washington has attempted 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. The matchup against the Pelicans may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (10th-most in the league). P.J. Washington will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production for all stats.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

Kyrie Irving
K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds

Kyrie Irving has successfully made 61.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 87th percentile for three-point shots made playing at home, averaging 2.5 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has played 33.9 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, marking this as a good matchup.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

Kyrie Irving has successfully made 61.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 87th percentile for three-point shots made playing at home, averaging 2.5 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has played 33.9 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, marking this as a good matchup.

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

Dereck Lively
D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has converted 63.3% of his shots from the field at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The rate of 3-pointers made against Yves Missi has been quite high (59.6%) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Dereck Lively II will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Dereck Lively

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Dereck Lively II has converted 63.3% of his shots from the field at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The rate of 3-pointers made against Yves Missi has been quite high (59.6%) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Dereck Lively II will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Jaylen Nowell Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Jaylen Nowell
J. Nowell
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaylen Nowell has sunk 23.7% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 24th percentile out of all players in the league. As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's feeble 96.5 points per game as the visting team places fewest in the league this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Jaylen Nowell figures to see a decline in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Jaylen Nowell

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Jaylen Nowell has sunk 23.7% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 24th percentile out of all players in the league. As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's feeble 96.5 points per game as the visting team places fewest in the league this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Jaylen Nowell figures to see a decline in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • Dallas

Luka Dončić
L. Dončić
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.6
Best Odds
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.1 threes per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. Luka Doncic has averaged 35.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.1 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, labeling this as a strong matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 97th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a whopping 6.7 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Luka Dončić

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.6

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.1 threes per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. Luka Doncic has averaged 35.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.1 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, labeling this as a strong matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 97th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a whopping 6.7 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Javonte Green Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Javonte Green
J. Green
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds

Javonte Green has made 62.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 11 games, 19.6% more than he's sunk overall this year. Javonte Green has attempted 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Relative to last season's 2.0 clip, Javonte Green's personal fouls per game have dropped this season to 1.1. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 17 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Javonte Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Javonte Green has made 62.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 11 games, 19.6% more than he's sunk overall this year. Javonte Green has attempted 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Relative to last season's 2.0 clip, Javonte Green's personal fouls per game have dropped this season to 1.1. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 17 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

Daniel Gafford
D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford rates in the 8th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 0.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford rates in the 8th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 0.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Trey Murphy
T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Trey Murphy III measures in the 77th percentile, totaling a whopping 14.5 points per game since the start of last season. Trey Murphy III has attempted 7.7 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Trey Murphy III has played 30.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 79th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Out of all players in the league, Trey Murphy III measures in the 77th percentile, totaling a whopping 14.5 points per game since the start of last season. Trey Murphy III has attempted 7.7 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Trey Murphy III has played 30.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 79th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

Klay Thompson
K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson rates in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, posting only 1.3 fouls per game this year. The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Klay Thompson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Over the last 19 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe. Klay Thompson will likely get a boost in performance in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson rates in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, posting only 1.3 fouls per game this year. The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Klay Thompson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Over the last 19 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe. Klay Thompson will likely get a boost in performance in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Yves Missi
Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds

Yves Missi has successfully made 70.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Dereck Lively II has been remarkably high (5.5 free throw attempts per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Yves Missi

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Yves Missi has successfully made 70.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Dereck Lively II has been remarkably high (5.5 free throw attempts per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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