Miami @ Indiana Picks & Props

Out of all players in the league, Ben Sheppard comes in at the 76th percentile for three-point prowess with an exceptional 40.3% rate this year. The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Among all players in the NBA, Ben Sheppard ranks in the 94th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with an exceptional 89.5% rate since the start of last season. Ben Sheppard will likely see an increase in performance in all facets of the game considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Myles Turner has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Myles Turner slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.6 minutes per game this year. The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year. The clash with Bam Adebayo comes in at the 96th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying a colossal 56.3% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year when they are at home. The matchup with Bam Adebayo in regard to drawing fouls rates in just the 75th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year when they are at home.

Bennedict Mathurin has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (78th percentile). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 43.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc away from home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (4th-most in the league).

The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year. T.J. McConnell will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Pascal Siakam has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

With respect to shots from the field, the Miami Heat's subpar 39.4 made shots per game places 7th-lowest in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Pacers, creating a difficult matchup. The Heat have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league this year. Tyler Herro will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production across the board.

Bam Adebayo has played 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a good one for scoring; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have converted a colossal 69.5% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile). The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.8 free throws per game (96th percentile).

Tyrese Haliburton has converted a measly 36.1% of his shots from the field this season, a sizeable decrease from his 47.5 rate last season. The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.2 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 19.0 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pacers, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Terry Rozier has converted 91.7% of his free throw attempts on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (most in the NBA).

Obi Toppin has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jarace Walker has gone over 5.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 8.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.