Sacramento 9th Western Conference45-36
Minnesota 2nd Western Conference56-25
BSN, NBALP, NBCSCA

Sacramento @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-102

The Kings rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Kings. While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Malik Monk stands to suffer a reduction in performance across the board due to being on the road in this game.

Malik Monk

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

The Kings rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Kings. While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Malik Monk stands to suffer a reduction in performance across the board due to being on the road in this game.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Harrison Barnes has made 54.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.8% more than he's converted in all games this year away from home. Harrison Barnes has made 1.9 treys per game this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league. Harrison Barnes has averaged 29.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 77th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Harrison Barnes has made 54.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.8% more than he's converted in all games this year away from home. Harrison Barnes has made 1.9 treys per game this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league. Harrison Barnes has averaged 29.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 77th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the NBA, Naz Reid rates in the 81st percentile for three-point shots scored, posting 1.9 per game this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves. This year, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense). Naz Reid has attempted 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Among all players in the NBA, Naz Reid rates in the 81st percentile for three-point shots scored, posting 1.9 per game this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves. This year, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense). Naz Reid has attempted 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Over
-127

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shots from the field (25th-best in the NBA) against the Kings, marking this as a strong matchup. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shots from the field (25th-best in the NBA) against the Kings, marking this as a strong matchup. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.3 3-pointers per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, creating a positive matchup. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves. This year, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (22nd-most in the NBA) against the Kings, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.3 3-pointers per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, creating a positive matchup. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves. This year, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (22nd-most in the NBA) against the Kings, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-105

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Kings rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while on the road. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (39.8%). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Kings. While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Kings rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while on the road. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (39.8%). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Kings. While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Under
-107

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Kings rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while on the road. This year, the other team's starting PFs have registered 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, creating a hard matchup for offensive productivity. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Kings. While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Kings rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while on the road. This year, the other team's starting PFs have registered 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, creating a hard matchup for offensive productivity. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Kings. While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Domantas Sabonis has attempted 16.6 shots per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.5 minutes per game on the road this year. This matchup is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court, opposing squads have compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (32.5%). The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a strong one for 3-point shots; when Gobert is at home other starting Cs this year, they have tallied a colossal 1.1 three-point shots per game (100th percentile). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Domantas Sabonis has attempted 16.6 shots per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.5 minutes per game on the road this year. This matchup is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court, opposing squads have compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (32.5%). The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a strong one for 3-point shots; when Gobert is at home other starting Cs this year, they have tallied a colossal 1.1 three-point shots per game (100th percentile). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28
Best Odds
Over
-114

Anthony Edwards has averaged 31.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season. Anthony Edwards has attempted 8.5 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Kings, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28

Anthony Edwards has averaged 31.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season. Anthony Edwards has attempted 8.5 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Kings, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Kevin Huerter has made 48.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while playing on the road. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (25th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Kevin Huerter has made 48.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while playing on the road. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (25th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-122

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert rates in the 96th percentile for shooting ability with a an impressive 65.1% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves. This year, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert rates in the 96th percentile for shooting ability with a an impressive 65.1% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves. This year, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Mike Conley has successfully made 46.1% of his three-point shots playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games with the home court advantage, 5.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves. This year, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Mike Conley has successfully made 46.1% of his three-point shots playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games with the home court advantage, 5.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Timberwolves. This year, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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