Final May 16
BOS 81 2.5 o210.5
NY 119 -2.5 u210.5
Brooklyn 11th EASTERN CONFERENCE32-50
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
NBALP

Brooklyn @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

Jeff Green
J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 7thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing squads have attempted 21.1 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line. Jeff Green is expected to see an increase in production in all stat categories considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jeff Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 7thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing squads have attempted 21.1 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line. Jeff Green is expected to see an increase in production in all stat categories considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Cameron Johnson Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

Cameron Johnson
C. Johnson
power forward PF • Brooklyn
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 26.1% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, labeling this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets. Cameron Johnson has converted just 71.8% of his free throws this season, a significant dropoff from his 84.7 mark last season. When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Brooklyn Nets's feeble 21.5 free throws per game measures as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year. Cameron Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance for all stats.

Cameron Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 26.1% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, labeling this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets. Cameron Johnson has converted just 71.8% of his free throws this season, a significant dropoff from his 84.7 mark last season. When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Brooklyn Nets's feeble 21.5 free throws per game measures as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year. Cameron Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance for all stats.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

Fred VanVleet
F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet registers in the 84th percentile for shots taken, registering 14.2 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet registers in the 95th percentile for threes sunk, totaling 3.0 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied 3.5 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, creating a positive matchup. The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet registers in the 84th percentile for shots taken, registering 14.2 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet registers in the 95th percentile for threes sunk, totaling 3.0 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied 3.5 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, creating a positive matchup. The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

Spencer Dinwiddie
S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Brooklyn
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 6.3 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Spencer Dinwiddie lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 30.9 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team has collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 6.3 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Spencer Dinwiddie lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 30.9 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team has collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

Dorian Finney-Smith
D. Finney-Smith
small forward SF • Brooklyn
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds

Dorian Finney-Smith has made 2.3 threes per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team has collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense). Dorian Finney-Smith has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Dorian Finney-Smith

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Dorian Finney-Smith has made 2.3 threes per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team has collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense). Dorian Finney-Smith has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

Jabari Smith Jr.
J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 1.7 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jabari Smith Jr. has played 29.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 7thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.6 more than he's converted in all games this year playing at home.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 1.7 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jabari Smith Jr. has played 29.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 7thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.6 more than he's converted in all games this year playing at home.

Nic Claxton Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

Nic Claxton
N. Claxton
center C • Brooklyn
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nic Claxton has made a terrific 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, quite a bit higher than his 0.0 rate last season. The clash with Alperen Sengun comes in at the 83rd percentile with the other team's starting Cs scoring a monstrous 42.1% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are playing on the road. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team has collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Nic Claxton

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Nic Claxton has made a terrific 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, quite a bit higher than his 0.0 rate last season. The clash with Alperen Sengun comes in at the 83rd percentile with the other team's starting Cs scoring a monstrous 42.1% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are playing on the road. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team has collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Mikal Bridges Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

Mikal Bridges
M. Bridges
shooting guard SG • Brooklyn
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds

Mikal Bridges has registered 20.9 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 89th percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges ranks in the 84th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 5.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges ranks in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Mikal Bridges

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Mikal Bridges has registered 20.9 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 89th percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges ranks in the 84th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 5.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges ranks in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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