St. Louis Cardinals

2nd in National League Central (23 - 16)

Next Game

Sun, May 10 16:10 ET
GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL +116 moneyline
STL PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL +116 moneyline

PROJECTION

STL PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.36% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+116
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
St. Louis Cardinals logo San Diego Padres logo
Over 8.0 Total
8.79 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-6.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
St. Louis Cardinals logo San Diego Padres logo
Over 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

8.79 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-6.24% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -115
DraftKings logo
SPREAD
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL +1.5 spread
0.07 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
3.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
3.02% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

u0.5 +190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Jordan Walker will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Walker today.. Despite posting a .407 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has been lucky given the .074 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 12th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Pedro Pages encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 +115
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rodolfo Duran in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rodolfo Duran is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Rodolfo Duran encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Alec Burleson's launch angle recently (3.7° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.6° seasonal mark.

u0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Xander Bogaerts has a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days.. Over the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts's 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.7%.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Freddy Fermin is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. 12% of the time that Freddy Fermin has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage over Ivan Herrera today.. Ivan Herrera has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences today.. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. This year, Gavin Sheets has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 10th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Victor Scott II has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

u0.5 -104
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Manny Machado's launch angle lately (-5.4° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.5° seasonal angle.. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 46.6% to 34.7%.

u0.5 +190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Gorman today.

u0.5 +115
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough challenge today.. In the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle this year (2.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 9.6° mark last year.

u0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

u0.5 +180
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Nathan Church has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Nathan Church will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage in today's game.. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Ramon Laureano will not have the upper hand today.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Over the past week, Jackson Merrill's 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

u0.5 +190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.61% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jordan Walker has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +145
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Gorman today.

u1.5 -250
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.2% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ivan Herrera has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a .288 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

o1.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Ramon Laureano will not have the upper hand today.

u1.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +132
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 12th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Pedro Pages encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u1.5 -330
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 23.8% over the past 14 days.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Nathan Church has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20.5% over the last two weeks.

o1.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. When it comes to his home runs, Masyn Winn has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2.

o1.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

u1.5 -150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.. In terms of his batting average, Victor Scott II has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

o1.5 +300
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Rodolfo Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Freddy Fermin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.. Despite posting a .219 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Freddy Fermin has had bad variance on his side given the .061 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.

o1.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +630
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ivan Herrera has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Ivan Herrera sits with a .365 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

o0.5 +680
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +680
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has a pitch-to-contact profile (4th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.

o0.5 +570
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.76% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jordan Walker has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +490
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.21% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Gavin Sheets has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the last week, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 93.4 mph to 91 mph.

u0.5 -699
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Manny Machado's launch angle this season (7.5°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° angle last year.. Manny Machado's launch angle lately (-5.4° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.5° seasonal angle.

u0.5 -599
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.. Over the past 7 days, Miguel Andujar's 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.3%.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Ramon Laureano will not have the upper hand today.

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage in today's game.. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has dropped off to 84.2-mph.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Over the past week, Jackson Merrill's 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

u0.5 -599
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rodolfo Duran in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rodolfo Duran is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Rodolfo Duran encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Nathan Church has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.. Nathan Church will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Nathan Church has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 83.7-mph in the past week.. In terms of his home runs, Nathan Church has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 19.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 0.0.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Xander Bogaerts has a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.59% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough challenge today.. In the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle this year (2.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 9.6° mark last year.. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle in recent games (-0.9° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 2.5° seasonal figure.

u0.5 -699
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 10th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Victor Scott II has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.. Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Victor Scott II's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 84.7-mph over the past week.

u0.5 -3030
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 12th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Pedro Pages encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Pedro Pages has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-28.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-28.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Freddy Fermin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.. Freddy Fermin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 10.9% on the season to 28.6% in the last week's worth of games.. Despite posting a .219 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Freddy Fermin has had bad variance on his side given the .061 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.

o0.5 +1040
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Walker Buehler logo
San Diego Padres logo
W. Buehler (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Walker Buehler logo
San Diego Padres logo
W. Buehler (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Walker, Nolan Gorman, Pedro Pages).. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Walker Buehler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his metrics in all categories.. Walker Buehler's higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (69.7% compared to 58.8% last season) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

o3.5 -162
Caesars logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Kyle Leahy logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
K. Leahy (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kyle Leahy logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
K. Leahy (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.84% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Leahy in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.. Andy Fletcher grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today's game.. Kyle Leahy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. In his previous outing, Kyle Leahy struggled when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.. Kyle Leahy's fastball spin rate has decreased 195 rpm this season (2179 rpm) below where it was last season (2374 rpm).

u3.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.2% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +180
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +172
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.61% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ivan Herrera has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a .288 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.41% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jordan Walker has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has a pitch-to-contact profile (4th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.. Nolan Gorman has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +220
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 23.8% over the past 14 days.

o0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +185
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ramon Laureano has a ton of pop (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy has a pitch-to-contact profile (24th percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. When it comes to his home runs, Masyn Winn has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.. In terms of his batting average, Victor Scott II has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

o0.5 +350
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.3-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Nathan Church has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20.5% over the last two weeks.

o0.5 +225
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Freddy Fermin is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. 12% of the time that Freddy Fermin has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

u0.5 -300
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

u0.5 -250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rodolfo Duran in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rodolfo Duran is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Rodolfo Duran encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -310
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -132
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -129
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -140
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.1% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ivan Herrera has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a .288 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

o1.5 -120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -124
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.45% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jordan Walker has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -118
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ramon Laureano has a ton of pop (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy has a pitch-to-contact profile (24th percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +107
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has a pitch-to-contact profile (4th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.. Nolan Gorman has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +116
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -124
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 23.8% over the past 14 days.

o1.5 -105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 -113
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Nathan Church has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20.5% over the last two weeks.

o1.5 +120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. When it comes to his home runs, Masyn Winn has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2.

o1.5 +114
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rodolfo Duran in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rodolfo Duran is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Rodolfo Duran encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u1.5 -150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

u1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Freddy Fermin is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. 12% of the time that Freddy Fermin has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

u1.5 -162
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.. In terms of his batting average, Victor Scott II has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

o1.5 +170
BetMGM logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL +116 moneyline
STL PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL +116 moneyline

PROJECTION

STL PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.36% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+116
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
St. Louis Cardinals logo San Diego Padres logo
Over 8.0 Total
8.79 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-6.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
St. Louis Cardinals logo San Diego Padres logo
Over 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

8.79 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-6.24% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -115
DraftKings logo
SPREAD
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL +1.5 spread
0.07 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
3.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
3.02% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

u0.5 +190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Jordan Walker will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Walker today.. Despite posting a .407 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has been lucky given the .074 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 12th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Pedro Pages encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 +115
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rodolfo Duran in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rodolfo Duran is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Rodolfo Duran encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Alec Burleson's launch angle recently (3.7° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.6° seasonal mark.

u0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Xander Bogaerts has a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days.. Over the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts's 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.7%.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Freddy Fermin is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. 12% of the time that Freddy Fermin has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage over Ivan Herrera today.. Ivan Herrera has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences today.. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. This year, Gavin Sheets has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 10th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Victor Scott II has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

u0.5 -104
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Manny Machado's launch angle lately (-5.4° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.5° seasonal angle.. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 46.6% to 34.7%.

u0.5 +190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Gorman today.

u0.5 +115
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough challenge today.. In the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle this year (2.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 9.6° mark last year.

u0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

u0.5 +180
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Nathan Church has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Nathan Church will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage in today's game.. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Ramon Laureano will not have the upper hand today.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Over the past week, Jackson Merrill's 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

u0.5 +190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.61% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jordan Walker has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +145
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Gorman today.

u1.5 -250
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.2% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ivan Herrera has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a .288 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

o1.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Ramon Laureano will not have the upper hand today.

u1.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +132
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 12th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Pedro Pages encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u1.5 -330
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 23.8% over the past 14 days.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Nathan Church has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20.5% over the last two weeks.

o1.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. When it comes to his home runs, Masyn Winn has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2.

o1.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

u1.5 -150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.. In terms of his batting average, Victor Scott II has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

o1.5 +300
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Rodolfo Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Freddy Fermin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.. Despite posting a .219 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Freddy Fermin has had bad variance on his side given the .061 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.

o1.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +630
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ivan Herrera has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Ivan Herrera sits with a .365 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

o0.5 +680
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +680
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has a pitch-to-contact profile (4th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.

o0.5 +570
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.76% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jordan Walker has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +490
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.21% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Gavin Sheets has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the last week, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 93.4 mph to 91 mph.

u0.5 -699
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Manny Machado's launch angle this season (7.5°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° angle last year.. Manny Machado's launch angle lately (-5.4° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.5° seasonal angle.

u0.5 -599
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.. Over the past 7 days, Miguel Andujar's 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.3%.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Ramon Laureano will not have the upper hand today.

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage in today's game.. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has dropped off to 84.2-mph.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Over the past week, Jackson Merrill's 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

u0.5 -599
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rodolfo Duran in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rodolfo Duran is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Rodolfo Duran encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Nathan Church has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.. Nathan Church will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Nathan Church has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 83.7-mph in the past week.. In terms of his home runs, Nathan Church has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 19.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 0.0.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Xander Bogaerts has a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.59% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough challenge today.. In the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle this year (2.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 9.6° mark last year.. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle in recent games (-0.9° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 2.5° seasonal figure.

u0.5 -699
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 10th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Victor Scott II has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.. Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Victor Scott II's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 84.7-mph over the past week.

u0.5 -3030
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 12th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Pedro Pages encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Pedro Pages has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-28.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-28.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Freddy Fermin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.. Freddy Fermin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 10.9% on the season to 28.6% in the last week's worth of games.. Despite posting a .219 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Freddy Fermin has had bad variance on his side given the .061 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.

o0.5 +1040
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Walker Buehler logo
San Diego Padres logo
W. Buehler (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Walker Buehler logo
San Diego Padres logo
W. Buehler (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Walker, Nolan Gorman, Pedro Pages).. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Walker Buehler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his metrics in all categories.. Walker Buehler's higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (69.7% compared to 58.8% last season) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

o3.5 -162
Caesars logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Kyle Leahy logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
K. Leahy (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kyle Leahy logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
K. Leahy (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.84% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Leahy in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.. Andy Fletcher grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today's game.. Kyle Leahy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. In his previous outing, Kyle Leahy struggled when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.. Kyle Leahy's fastball spin rate has decreased 195 rpm this season (2179 rpm) below where it was last season (2374 rpm).

u3.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.2% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +180
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +172
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.61% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ivan Herrera has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a .288 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.41% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jordan Walker has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has a pitch-to-contact profile (4th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.. Nolan Gorman has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +220
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 23.8% over the past 14 days.

o0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +185
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ramon Laureano has a ton of pop (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy has a pitch-to-contact profile (24th percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. When it comes to his home runs, Masyn Winn has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.. In terms of his batting average, Victor Scott II has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

o0.5 +350
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.3-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Nathan Church has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20.5% over the last two weeks.

o0.5 +225
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Freddy Fermin is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. 12% of the time that Freddy Fermin has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

u0.5 -300
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

u0.5 -250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rodolfo Duran in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rodolfo Duran is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Rodolfo Duran encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -310
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -132
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -129
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -140
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.1% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ivan Herrera has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a .288 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

o1.5 -120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -124
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.45% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jordan Walker has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -118
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ramon Laureano logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Laureano (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ramon Laureano has a ton of pop (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy has a pitch-to-contact profile (24th percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +107
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Nolan Gorman logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Gorman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has a pitch-to-contact profile (4th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.. Nolan Gorman has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +116
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -124
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Gavin Sheets logo
San Diego Padres logo
G. Sheets (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 23.8% over the past 14 days.

o1.5 -105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres logo
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 -113
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Nathan Church has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20.5% over the last two weeks.

o1.5 +120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. When it comes to his home runs, Masyn Winn has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2.

o1.5 +114
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pedro Pages logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
P. Pages (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rodolfo Duran logo
San Diego Padres logo
R. Duran (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rodolfo Duran in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rodolfo Duran is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Rodolfo Duran encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

u1.5 -150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miguel Andujar logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Andujar (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

u1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Freddy Fermin is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. 12% of the time that Freddy Fermin has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

u1.5 -162
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Victor Scott II logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
V. Scott II (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.. In terms of his batting average, Victor Scott II has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

o1.5 +170
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