St. Louis Cardinals

4th in National League Central (52 - 50)

Next Game

Fri, Jul 24 20:15 ET

CIN @ STL Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.
Strikeouts Thrown
Rhett Lowder logo
Rhett Lowder o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 3.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rhett Lowder has averaged 93.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+246)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Eugenio Suarez has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the past 14 days.. Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. JJ Bleday may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 18.4% to 21.6%.
Total RBIs
Tyler Stephenson logo
Tyler Stephenson o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Over the last 7 days, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 42.9%.. Tyler Stephenson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 100.1-mph over the past 7 days.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.5° angle in the last 7 days.
Total RBIs
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

65% picking Cincinnati vs St. Louis to go Over

65%
35%

Total PicksCIN 89, STL 48

Total
Over
Under

CIN @ STL · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL -167 moneyline
STL PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL -167 moneyline

PROJECTION

STL PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-161
Polymarket logo
TOTAL
Cincinnati Reds logo St. Louis Cardinals logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo St. Louis Cardinals logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.76% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -125
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN +1.5 spread
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.77% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -148
Polymarket logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. Considering Dustin May's large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. In notching a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tyler Stephenson grades out in the 24th percentile.

u0.5 +142
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Dustin May will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering May's large platoon split.. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer has compiled a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Spencer Steer has recorded a .218 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has fallen to 87.1-mph.. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.8% to 10.6%.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The 2nd-deepest RF fences among all parks are found in Busch Stadium.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Alec Burleson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 14.4% on the season to 0% over the last week.

u0.5 +202
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Elly De La Cruz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .022 discrepancy.

u0.5 +185
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage over Ivan Herrera today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ivan Herrera's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.. Ivan Herrera's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 89.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 80-mph in the past 7 days.. Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 10.7% on the season to 0% over the past week.

u0.5 +195
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Edwin Arroyo's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Edwin Arroyo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 60.7% on the season to 71.4% over the last two weeks.

o0.5 -138
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Walker in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Jordan Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 95.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 84.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 13% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.. Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, putting up a .370 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .025 difference.

u0.5 +199
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 13°, JJ Wetherholt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) over the past 14 days.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.. JJ Bleday has been lucky this year, putting up a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .019 gap.

u0.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Nathaniel Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 7th-deepest LF fences today.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. In the past 7 days, Nathaniel Lowe's 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.6%.. Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nathaniel Lowe has had positive variance on his side given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

u0.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Nathan Church has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for homers.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Nathan Church has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.

u0.5 +140
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 21st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Eugenio Suarez will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Utilizing Statcast data, Eugenio Suarez is in the 4th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .201.

u0.5 +120
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Blaze Jordan hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Blaze Jordan will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Blaze Jordan has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV.

o0.5 -160
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, Dane Myers will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dane Myers today.. In the last week's worth of games, Dane Myers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 16°, Dane Myers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) over the last 14 days.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Jose Fermin is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.. Rhett Lowder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Fermin in today's matchup.. In today's game, Jose Fermin is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.2% rate (92nd percentile).. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 -165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

u1.5 -225
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Dustin May) today.. Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.

o1.5 +132
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.28% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Sporting a .388 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Sal Stewart is positioned in the 99th percentile for offensive skills.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Nathan Church has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-deepest RF fences among all parks are found in Busch Stadium.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

u1.5 -245
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Fermin has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 85.4-mph EV.. Jose Fermin has recorded a .284 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Blaze Jordan is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Batting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Blaze Jordan will have a disadvantage in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Blaze Jordan has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u1.5 -260
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, Dane Myers will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dane Myers today.. In the last week's worth of games, Dane Myers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

u1.5 -350
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Over the last 7 days, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 42.9%.. Tyler Stephenson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 100.1-mph over the past 7 days.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.5° angle in the last 7 days.

o1.5 +180
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Edwin Arroyo is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Edwin Arroyo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences today.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Edwin Arroyo today.

u1.5 -350
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Spencer Steer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 7.8% rate last season to 12.8% this year.. This season, Spencer Steer has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Nathaniel Lowe has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nathaniel Lowe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.4% to 18.2%.. Despite posting a .189 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has had some very poor luck given the .100 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Ke'Bryan Hayes has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game this year (90.3-mph).

o1.5 +230
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for homers.. Alec Burleson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 14.4% on the season to 0% over the last week.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.62% EV

ANALYSIS

Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Walker in today's game.. Jordan Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 95.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 84.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 13% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.. Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, putting up a .370 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .025 difference.. Based on Statcast data, Jordan Walker is in the 8th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .273.

u0.5 -526
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.84% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Nathaniel Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 7th-deepest LF fences today.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nathaniel Lowe has had positive variance on his side given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage over Sal Stewart today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering May's large platoon split.. In today's matchup, Sal Stewart is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.7% rate (95th percentile).. Sal Stewart will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Sal Stewart has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 14.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 6.7% in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 -699
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Elly De La Cruz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .022 discrepancy.

u0.5 -719
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 22nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Blaze Jordan is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Batting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Blaze Jordan will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Blaze Jordan has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.. JJ Bleday has been lucky this year, putting up a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .019 gap.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Edwin Arroyo is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Edwin Arroyo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences today.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Edwin Arroyo today.. In the past week's worth of games, Edwin Arroyo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 88.5 mph to 85.2 mph.

u0.5 -3448
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13°, JJ Wetherholt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) over the past 14 days.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Nathan Church has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for homers.. Nathan Church has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.. Nathan Church's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 92.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 90.2-mph in the past two weeks.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Considering Dustin May's large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering May's large platoon split.. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer has compiled a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, Dane Myers will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dane Myers today.. In the last week's worth of games, Dane Myers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 16°, Dane Myers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) over the last 14 days.

u0.5 -2500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game.. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has fallen to 87.1-mph.. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.8% to 10.6%.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Eugenio Suarez has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the past 14 days.. Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.

o0.5 +625
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-19.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-19.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jimmy Crooks will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jimmy Crooks has had bad variance on his side given the .043 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

o0.5 +700
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-28.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-28.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.4% to 18.2%.. Despite posting a .189 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has had some very poor luck given the .100 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Ke'Bryan Hayes has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game this year (90.3-mph).

o0.5 +1500
BetMGM logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Rhett Lowder logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
R. Lowder (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Rhett Lowder logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
R. Lowder (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Rhett Lowder has averaged 93.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

o3.5 +134
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Eugenio Suarez has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the past 14 days.. Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +212
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. JJ Bleday may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 18.4% to 21.6%.

o0.5 +195
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Over the last 7 days, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 42.9%.. Tyler Stephenson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 100.1-mph over the past 7 days.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.5° angle in the last 7 days.

o0.5 +260
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.53% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today.

o0.5 +135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Spencer Steer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 7.8% rate last season to 12.8% this year.. This season, Spencer Steer has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark.

o0.5 +204
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Dane Myers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph recently.. Dane Myers has compiled a .333 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

o0.5 +330
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.95% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jimmy Crooks will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jimmy Crooks has had bad variance on his side given the .043 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

o0.5 +249
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Edwin Arroyo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 60.7% on the season to 71.4% over the last two weeks.

o0.5 +302
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Sporting a .388 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Sal Stewart is positioned in the 99th percentile for offensive skills.. Using Statcast data, Sal Stewart is in the 99th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 41.800.

o0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Dustin May) today.. Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Nathan Church's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.6%.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Nathaniel Lowe has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nathaniel Lowe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week.

o0.5 +230
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Blaze Jordan hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Blaze Jordan will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Blaze Jordan has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV.

o0.5 +220
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Fermin has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 85.4-mph EV.. Jose Fermin has recorded a .284 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.4% to 18.2%.. Despite posting a .189 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has had some very poor luck given the .100 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Ke'Bryan Hayes has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game this year (90.3-mph).

o0.5 +290
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.19 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
10.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.19 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
10.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -127
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.1% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. JJ Bleday may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 18.4% to 21.6%.

o1.5 +110
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Edwin Arroyo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 60.7% on the season to 71.4% over the last two weeks.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.02% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -138
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Sporting a .388 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Sal Stewart is positioned in the 99th percentile for offensive skills.. Using Statcast data, Sal Stewart is in the 99th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 41.800.

o1.5 -115
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today.

o1.5 -160
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Blaze Jordan hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Blaze Jordan will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jimmy Crooks will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jimmy Crooks has had bad variance on his side given the .043 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

o1.5 +138
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.29% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -155
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Dustin May) today.. Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.

o1.5 -130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Over the last 7 days, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 42.9%.. Tyler Stephenson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 100.1-mph over the past 7 days.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.5° angle in the last 7 days.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Spencer Steer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 7.8% rate last season to 12.8% this year.. This season, Spencer Steer has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark.

o1.5 +100
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Nathaniel Lowe has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nathaniel Lowe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week.

o1.5 +125
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Dane Myers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph recently.. Dane Myers has compiled a .333 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Fermin has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 85.4-mph EV.. Jose Fermin has recorded a .284 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL -167 moneyline
STL PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL -167 moneyline

PROJECTION

STL PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-161
Polymarket logo
TOTAL
Cincinnati Reds logo St. Louis Cardinals logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo St. Louis Cardinals logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.76% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -125
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN +1.5 spread
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.77% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -148
Polymarket logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. Considering Dustin May's large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. In notching a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tyler Stephenson grades out in the 24th percentile.

u0.5 +142
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Dustin May will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering May's large platoon split.. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer has compiled a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Spencer Steer has recorded a .218 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has fallen to 87.1-mph.. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.8% to 10.6%.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The 2nd-deepest RF fences among all parks are found in Busch Stadium.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Alec Burleson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 14.4% on the season to 0% over the last week.

u0.5 +202
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Elly De La Cruz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .022 discrepancy.

u0.5 +185
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage over Ivan Herrera today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ivan Herrera's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.. Ivan Herrera's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 89.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 80-mph in the past 7 days.. Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 10.7% on the season to 0% over the past week.

u0.5 +195
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Edwin Arroyo's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Edwin Arroyo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 60.7% on the season to 71.4% over the last two weeks.

o0.5 -138
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Walker in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Jordan Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 95.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 84.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 13% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.. Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, putting up a .370 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .025 difference.

u0.5 +199
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 13°, JJ Wetherholt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) over the past 14 days.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.. JJ Bleday has been lucky this year, putting up a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .019 gap.

u0.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Nathaniel Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 7th-deepest LF fences today.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. In the past 7 days, Nathaniel Lowe's 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.6%.. Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nathaniel Lowe has had positive variance on his side given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

u0.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Nathan Church has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for homers.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Nathan Church has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.

u0.5 +140
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 21st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Eugenio Suarez will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Utilizing Statcast data, Eugenio Suarez is in the 4th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .201.

u0.5 +120
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Blaze Jordan hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Blaze Jordan will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Blaze Jordan has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV.

o0.5 -160
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, Dane Myers will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dane Myers today.. In the last week's worth of games, Dane Myers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 16°, Dane Myers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) over the last 14 days.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Jose Fermin is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.. Rhett Lowder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Fermin in today's matchup.. In today's game, Jose Fermin is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.2% rate (92nd percentile).. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 -165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

u1.5 -225
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Dustin May) today.. Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.

o1.5 +132
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.28% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Sporting a .388 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Sal Stewart is positioned in the 99th percentile for offensive skills.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Nathan Church has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-deepest RF fences among all parks are found in Busch Stadium.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

u1.5 -245
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Fermin has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 85.4-mph EV.. Jose Fermin has recorded a .284 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Blaze Jordan is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Batting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Blaze Jordan will have a disadvantage in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Blaze Jordan has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u1.5 -260
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, Dane Myers will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dane Myers today.. In the last week's worth of games, Dane Myers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

u1.5 -350
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Over the last 7 days, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 42.9%.. Tyler Stephenson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 100.1-mph over the past 7 days.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.5° angle in the last 7 days.

o1.5 +180
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Edwin Arroyo is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Edwin Arroyo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences today.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Edwin Arroyo today.

u1.5 -350
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Spencer Steer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 7.8% rate last season to 12.8% this year.. This season, Spencer Steer has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Nathaniel Lowe has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nathaniel Lowe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.4% to 18.2%.. Despite posting a .189 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has had some very poor luck given the .100 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Ke'Bryan Hayes has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game this year (90.3-mph).

o1.5 +230
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for homers.. Alec Burleson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 14.4% on the season to 0% over the last week.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.62% EV

ANALYSIS

Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Walker in today's game.. Jordan Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 95.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 84.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 13% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.. Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, putting up a .370 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .025 difference.. Based on Statcast data, Jordan Walker is in the 8th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .273.

u0.5 -526
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.84% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Nathaniel Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 7th-deepest LF fences today.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nathaniel Lowe has had positive variance on his side given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage over Sal Stewart today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering May's large platoon split.. In today's matchup, Sal Stewart is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.7% rate (95th percentile).. Sal Stewart will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Sal Stewart has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 14.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 6.7% in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 -699
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Elly De La Cruz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .022 discrepancy.

u0.5 -719
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 22nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Blaze Jordan is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Batting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Blaze Jordan will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Blaze Jordan has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.. JJ Bleday has been lucky this year, putting up a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .019 gap.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Edwin Arroyo is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Edwin Arroyo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences today.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Edwin Arroyo today.. In the past week's worth of games, Edwin Arroyo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 88.5 mph to 85.2 mph.

u0.5 -3448
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13°, JJ Wetherholt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) over the past 14 days.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathan Church is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Nathan Church has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for homers.. Nathan Church has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.. Nathan Church's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 92.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 90.2-mph in the past two weeks.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Considering Dustin May's large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering May's large platoon split.. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Spencer Steer has compiled a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, Dane Myers will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dane Myers today.. In the last week's worth of games, Dane Myers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 16°, Dane Myers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) over the last 14 days.

u0.5 -2500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game.. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has fallen to 87.1-mph.. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.8% to 10.6%.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Eugenio Suarez has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the past 14 days.. Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.

o0.5 +625
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-19.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-19.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jimmy Crooks will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jimmy Crooks has had bad variance on his side given the .043 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

o0.5 +700
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-28.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-28.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.4% to 18.2%.. Despite posting a .189 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has had some very poor luck given the .100 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Ke'Bryan Hayes has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game this year (90.3-mph).

o0.5 +1500
BetMGM logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Rhett Lowder logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
R. Lowder (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Rhett Lowder logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
R. Lowder (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Rhett Lowder has averaged 93.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

o3.5 +134
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Eugenio Suarez has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the past 14 days.. Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +212
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. JJ Bleday may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 18.4% to 21.6%.

o0.5 +195
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Over the last 7 days, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 42.9%.. Tyler Stephenson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 100.1-mph over the past 7 days.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.5° angle in the last 7 days.

o0.5 +260
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.53% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today.

o0.5 +135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Spencer Steer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 7.8% rate last season to 12.8% this year.. This season, Spencer Steer has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark.

o0.5 +204
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Dane Myers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph recently.. Dane Myers has compiled a .333 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

o0.5 +330
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.95% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jimmy Crooks will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jimmy Crooks has had bad variance on his side given the .043 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

o0.5 +249
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Edwin Arroyo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 60.7% on the season to 71.4% over the last two weeks.

o0.5 +302
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Sporting a .388 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Sal Stewart is positioned in the 99th percentile for offensive skills.. Using Statcast data, Sal Stewart is in the 99th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 41.800.

o0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Dustin May) today.. Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masyn Winn logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
M. Winn (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathan Church logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
N. Church (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Nathan Church's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.6%.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Nathaniel Lowe has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nathaniel Lowe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week.

o0.5 +230
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Blaze Jordan hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Blaze Jordan will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Blaze Jordan has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV.

o0.5 +220
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Fermin has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 85.4-mph EV.. Jose Fermin has recorded a .284 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.4% to 18.2%.. Despite posting a .189 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has had some very poor luck given the .100 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Ke'Bryan Hayes has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game this year (90.3-mph).

o0.5 +290
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
L. Nootbaar (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.19 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
10.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ivan Herrera logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
I. Herrera (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.19 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
10.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -127
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.1% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. JJ Bleday may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 18.4% to 21.6%.

o1.5 +110
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Edwin Arroyo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 60.7% on the season to 71.4% over the last two weeks.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Wetherholt logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Wetherholt (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.02% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -138
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Sporting a .388 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Sal Stewart is positioned in the 99th percentile for offensive skills.. Using Statcast data, Sal Stewart is in the 99th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 41.800.

o1.5 -115
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Burleson logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
A. Burleson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today.

o1.5 -160
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blaze Jordan logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
B. Jordan (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Blaze Jordan hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Blaze Jordan will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jimmy Crooks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Crooks (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jimmy Crooks will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jimmy Crooks has had bad variance on his side given the .043 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

o1.5 +138
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Walker logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Walker (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.29% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -155
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Dustin May) today.. Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.

o1.5 -130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Over the last 7 days, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 42.9%.. Tyler Stephenson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 100.1-mph over the past 7 days.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.5° angle in the last 7 days.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Spencer Steer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 7.8% rate last season to 12.8% this year.. This season, Spencer Steer has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark.

o1.5 +100
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Nathaniel Lowe has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nathaniel Lowe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week.

o1.5 +125
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Dane Myers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph recently.. Dane Myers has compiled a .333 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

o1.5 +150
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HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Fermin logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
J. Fermin (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Fermin has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 85.4-mph EV.. Jose Fermin has recorded a .284 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +110
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'pittsburghphil' picks Cincinnati vs St. Louis to go Under (8.0)

pittsburghphil is #8 on picking games that St. Louis are in with a record of (50-43-3) and +8375 units on the season.

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'Piazzametsfan31' picks Cincinnati vs St. Louis to go Over (8.0)

Piazzametsfan31 is #9 on picking games that St. Louis are in with a record of (48-27-4) and +8220 units on the season.

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