St. Louis Cardinals Picks
3rd in National League Central
(14 - 10)
Next Game
Sat, Apr 25
14:15 ET
SEA @ STL Picks
MLB Picks
Game Prop
YRFI/NRFI (No: -136)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total Home Runs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Randy Arozarena is 2-for-5 lifetime against Matthew Liberatore with a home run, and he’s 3-for-7 across his last two games with a pair of doubles. Arozarena is also batting .364 against left-handed pitchers, and .314 on the road. Liberatore has allowed three homers at Busch Stadium.
Total Hits
Cal Raleigh u0.5 Total Hits (+153)
Projection 0.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Matthew Liberatore in this game.. Today, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.7% rate (100th percentile).. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo today... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total Bases
Rob Refsnyder u1.5 Total Bases (-182)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Busch Stadium projects as the #30 field in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.. Rob Refsnyder will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Alec Burleson will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Total Bases
Cole Young o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Cole Young has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 93.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.. When it comes to his home runs, Cole Young has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 10.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.9.. Cole Young has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.
Total Bases
J.P. Crawford o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. J.P. Crawford has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 5.2% rate last year to 11.1% this year.. This season, J.P. Crawford has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.2 mph compared to last year's 89.7 mph mark.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB's 5th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Cal Raleigh has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Matthew Liberatore is a pitch-to-contact type (24th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Home Runs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Alec Burleson will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Alec Burleson will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
