Detroit Tigers

4th in American League Central (47 - 53)

Next Game

Tue, Jul 21 20:05 ET

DET @ CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Both teams are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but it's the Cubs whom I trust more in this spot. They have been dialed in at the plate of late, and I'm expecting Framber Valdez to return to his struggles against a good-hitting Cubbies side. 

Total Hits
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly u0.5 Total Hits (+193)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°, Carson Kelly has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.4°) in the past 14 days.
Total Hits
Miguel Amaya logo
Miguel Amaya u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Miguel Amaya's BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. This year, there has been a decline in Miguel Amaya's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.93 ft/sec last year to 25.27 ft/sec currently.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Amaya's true offensive talent to be a .294, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .320 wOBA.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Riley Greene has performed at a clip of 34.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.. By putting up a .288 batting average this year, Kevin McGonigle is ranked in the 91st percentile.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Busch has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ u1.5 Total Bases (-245)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ian Happ is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his bad side (0) today against Framber Valdez. In the last 14 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 19% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
Total Home Runs
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Projection 0.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. Checking in at the 88th percentile, Kevin McGonigle sports a .365 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

55% picking Detroit

55%
45%

Total PicksDET 66, CHC 54

Moneyline
DET
CHC
Moneyline
Total

52% picking Detroit vs Chi. Cubs to go Under

48%
52%

Total PicksDET 40, CHC 44

Total
Over
Under

DET @ CHC · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Detroit Tigers logo
DET -105 moneyline
DET PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo
DET -105 moneyline

PROJECTION

DET PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.65% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+100
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Detroit Tigers logo Chicago Cubs logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.52 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
8.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo Chicago Cubs logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.52 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
8.74% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.5 -108
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Detroit Tigers logo
DET -1.5 spread
-0.29 PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo
DET -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.29 PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -213
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°, Carson Kelly has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.4°) in the past 14 days.

u0.5 +193
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Amaya's BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. This year, there has been a decline in Miguel Amaya's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.93 ft/sec last year to 25.27 ft/sec currently.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Amaya's true offensive talent to be a .294, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .320 wOBA.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin Alcantara is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Kevin Alcantara and his 0° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

u0.5 -105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman's BABIP skill is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.6-mph average last season has dropped to 91.5-mph.. Alex Bregman has put up a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Placing in the 22nd percentile, Alex Bregman sports a .265 BABIP this year.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Hao Yu Lee has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Hao Yu Lee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play, and Hao Yu Lee's 30.6° mark (18th percentile) this year indicates a weak hitting profile.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 7th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jake Rogers is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Rogers in today's matchup.. By putting up a .180 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Rogers is ranked in the 13th percentile.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Ben Malgeri has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Ben Malgeri will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.8% to 13.4%.. In notching a .226 BABIP this year, Dansby Swanson is ranked in the 1st percentile.

u0.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Ian Happ is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his bad side (0) today against Framber Valdez. In the last 14 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 19% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 48.4% to 36.7%.

u0.5 +132
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. In the last two weeks, Dillon Dingler's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.. Dillon Dingler's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83-mph in the past 14 days.. Dillon Dingler has been lucky this year, notching a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .027 disparity.

u0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Over the last 7 days, Seiya Suzuki's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 93 mph to 68.9 mph.

u0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Today, Gleyber Torres is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.5% rate (98th percentile).. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today's game.. Gleyber Torres's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 89.8-mph average last year has fallen off to 85.3-mph.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Matt Vierling has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Vierling today.. Matt Vierling's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 89.1-mph.. Matt Vierling has put up a .258 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 3rd percentile.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.61% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.. In the last week, Nico Hoerner's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.. In the last two weeks, Nico Hoerner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

u0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o0.5 -165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The 5th-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. David Peterson will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin McGonigle today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Kevin McGonigle is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#2-best of all teams on the slate).. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kevin McGonigle today.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Zach McKinstry has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.8% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past 14 days.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16% to 20.4%.. Over the last 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 36.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.. Zach McKinstry has been unlucky this year, notching a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .036 deviation.

o0.5 -145
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-5.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-5.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 -209
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The 5th-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. Framber Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Michael Busch in today's game.

u0.5 +141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 -170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +150
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TOTAL BASES
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Riley Greene has performed at a clip of 34.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o1.5 +170
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TOTAL BASES
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.16% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.. By putting up a .288 batting average this year, Kevin McGonigle is ranked in the 91st percentile.

o1.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +160
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TOTAL BASES
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Busch has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

o1.5 +190
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TOTAL BASES
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

o1.5 +123
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Ian Happ is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his bad side (0) today against Framber Valdez. In the last 14 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 19% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

u1.5 -245
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TOTAL BASES
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Matt Vierling will have an advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Matt Vierling has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.8° mark in the past 14 days.

o1.5 +150
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TOTAL BASES
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.83% EV

ANALYSIS

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.8% to 13.4%.. In notching a .226 BABIP this year, Dansby Swanson is ranked in the 1st percentile.

u1.5 -240
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an edge today.. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16% to 20.8%.

o1.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an edge in today's matchup.. With a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gleyber Torres has performed in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability.. Gleyber Torres has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.17 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +150
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TOTAL BASES
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Ben Malgeri has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Ben Malgeri will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u1.5 -330
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TOTAL BASES
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-0.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-0.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run ability, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The 5th-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Zach McKinstry will have a tough challenge in today's game.

u1.5 -340
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Carson Kelly has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 +165
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TOTAL BASES
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin Alcantara is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Kevin Alcantara and his 0° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

u1.5 -426
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TOTAL BASES
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.. In the last week, Nico Hoerner's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

u1.5 -165
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TOTAL BASES
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
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TOTAL BASES
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.43% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Hao Yu Lee has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Hao Yu Lee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u1.5 -240
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
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Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Jake Rogers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jake Rogers's 21.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 94th percentile.

o1.5 +180
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TOTAL BASES
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
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Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Miguel Amaya will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game.. Miguel Amaya has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph EV.. Miguel Amaya's 21° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 92nd percentile.

o1.5 +195
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. Checking in at the 88th percentile, Kevin McGonigle sports a .365 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.

o0.5 +850
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +650
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +525
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Busch has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

o0.5 +850
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.58% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Riley Greene has performed at a clip of 34.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o0.5 +625
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.17% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

o0.5 +575
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.

u0.5 -2500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Hao Yu Lee has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Hao Yu Lee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. As it relates to plate discipline, Hao Yu Lee's ability is quite bad, sporting a 5.91 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Ben Malgeri has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Ben Malgeri will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Today, Gleyber Torres is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.5% rate (98th percentile).. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today's game.. Gleyber Torres's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 89.8-mph average last year has fallen off to 85.3-mph.

u0.5 -1099
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. In the last two weeks, Dillon Dingler's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.. Dillon Dingler's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83-mph in the past 14 days.. Dillon Dingler has been lucky this year, notching a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .027 disparity.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Ian Happ is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his bad side (0) today against Framber Valdez. In the last 14 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 19% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run ability, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The 5th-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Zach McKinstry will have a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -3448
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.49% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .301 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has suffered from bad luck given the .041 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.

o0.5 +700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.6-mph average last season has dropped to 91.5-mph.. Alex Bregman has recorded a .194 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°, Carson Kelly has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.4°) in the past 14 days.. Carson Kelly has notched a .196 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Matt Vierling has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Vierling today.. Matt Vierling's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 89.1-mph.. Matt Vierling has put up a .258 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 3rd percentile.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 1.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 1.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run ability, Jake Rogers ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Jake Rogers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jake Rogers's 21.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 94th percentile.

o1.5 +6000
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Miguel Amaya will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game.. Miguel Amaya has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph EV.. Miguel Amaya's 21° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 92nd percentile.

o0.5 +800
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
David Peterson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Peterson (RP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
David Peterson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Peterson (RP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The Detroit Tigers have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Ben Malgeri, Spencer Torkelson).. It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nick Mahrley) calling pitches in today's game.. David Peterson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.. David Peterson's slider rate has increased by 5% from last season to this one (19.2% to 24.2%) .

o3.5 -162
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Framber Valdez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
F. Valdez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Framber Valdez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
F. Valdez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.77% EV

ANALYSIS

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nick Mahrley) calling pitches in today's game.. Dillon Dingler, the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Framber Valdez has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 7 opposite-handed hitters in today's game.. Framber Valdez has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 7.27 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.07 — a 0.8 K/9 discrepancy.

o4.5 -115
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.73% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.. By putting up a .288 batting average this year, Kevin McGonigle is ranked in the 91st percentile.

o0.5 +226
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +217
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

o0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Riley Greene has performed at a clip of 34.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Busch has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

o0.5 +215
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an edge today.. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16% to 20.8%.

o0.5 +175
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Carson Kelly has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an edge in today's matchup.. With a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gleyber Torres has performed in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability.. Gleyber Torres has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.17 K/BB rate.

o0.5 +230
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.07% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the last two weeks, Dansby Swanson's 56.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.6%.

o0.5 +194
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Matt Vierling will have an advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Matt Vierling has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.8° mark in the past 14 days.

o0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.57% EV

ANALYSIS

Zach McKinstry has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.8% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past 14 days.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16% to 20.4%.. Over the last 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 36.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.. Zach McKinstry has been unlucky this year, notching a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .036 deviation.

o0.5 +286
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.66% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ian Happ pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Ian Happ will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Utilizing Statcast data, Ian Happ is in the 90th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .360.

o0.5 +191
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ben Malgeri will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Ben Malgeri is notably athletic, grading out in the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.76 ft/sec this year.

o0.5 +290
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Alcantara in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Kevin Alcantara will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup.. Kevin Alcantara will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Kevin Alcantara's quickness has increased this season. His 25.51 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.37 ft/sec now.

o0.5 +347
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hao Yu Lee in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hao Yu Lee will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today.. Placing in the 85th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Hao Yu Lee demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

o0.5 +254
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Amaya's BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. This year, there has been a decline in Miguel Amaya's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.93 ft/sec last year to 25.27 ft/sec currently.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Amaya's true offensive talent to be a .294, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .320 wOBA.

u0.5 -310
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Jake Rogers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jake Rogers's 21.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 94th percentile.

o0.5 +190
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.. In the last week, Nico Hoerner's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

u0.5 -260
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
14.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
14.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Riley Greene has performed at a clip of 34.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o1.5 +109
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +100
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
13.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
13.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 -117
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
13.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
13.39% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.. By putting up a .288 batting average this year, Kevin McGonigle is ranked in the 91st percentile.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
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Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.89% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

o1.5 -120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Busch has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an edge today.. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16% to 20.8%.

o1.5 -120
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Matt Vierling will have an advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Matt Vierling has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.8° mark in the past 14 days.

o1.5 -113
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Zach McKinstry has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.8% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past 14 days.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16% to 20.4%.. Over the last 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 36.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.. Zach McKinstry has been unlucky this year, notching a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .036 deviation.

o1.5 +135
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an edge in today's matchup.. With a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gleyber Torres has performed in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability.. Gleyber Torres has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.17 K/BB rate.

o1.5 -124
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.79% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the last two weeks, Dansby Swanson's 56.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.6%.

o1.5 +104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 -115
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.83% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ian Happ pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Ian Happ will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Utilizing Statcast data, Ian Happ is in the 90th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .360.

o1.5 +106
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Carson Kelly has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 -115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.. In the last week, Nico Hoerner's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

u1.5 +110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hao Yu Lee in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hao Yu Lee will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today.. Placing in the 85th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Hao Yu Lee demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

o1.5 +130
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ben Malgeri will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Ben Malgeri is notably athletic, grading out in the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.76 ft/sec this year.

o1.5 +135
DraftKings logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Detroit Tigers logo
DET -105 moneyline
DET PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo
DET -105 moneyline

PROJECTION

DET PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.65% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+100
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Detroit Tigers logo Chicago Cubs logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.52 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
8.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo Chicago Cubs logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.52 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
8.74% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.5 -108
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Detroit Tigers logo
DET -1.5 spread
-0.29 PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo
DET -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.29 PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

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+1.5 -213
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°, Carson Kelly has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.4°) in the past 14 days.

u0.5 +193
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Amaya's BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. This year, there has been a decline in Miguel Amaya's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.93 ft/sec last year to 25.27 ft/sec currently.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Amaya's true offensive talent to be a .294, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .320 wOBA.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin Alcantara is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Kevin Alcantara and his 0° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

u0.5 -105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman's BABIP skill is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.6-mph average last season has dropped to 91.5-mph.. Alex Bregman has put up a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Placing in the 22nd percentile, Alex Bregman sports a .265 BABIP this year.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Hao Yu Lee has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Hao Yu Lee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play, and Hao Yu Lee's 30.6° mark (18th percentile) this year indicates a weak hitting profile.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 7th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jake Rogers is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Rogers in today's matchup.. By putting up a .180 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Rogers is ranked in the 13th percentile.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Ben Malgeri has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Ben Malgeri will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.8% to 13.4%.. In notching a .226 BABIP this year, Dansby Swanson is ranked in the 1st percentile.

u0.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Ian Happ is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his bad side (0) today against Framber Valdez. In the last 14 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 19% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 48.4% to 36.7%.

u0.5 +132
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. In the last two weeks, Dillon Dingler's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.. Dillon Dingler's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83-mph in the past 14 days.. Dillon Dingler has been lucky this year, notching a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .027 disparity.

u0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Over the last 7 days, Seiya Suzuki's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 93 mph to 68.9 mph.

u0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Today, Gleyber Torres is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.5% rate (98th percentile).. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today's game.. Gleyber Torres's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 89.8-mph average last year has fallen off to 85.3-mph.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Matt Vierling has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Vierling today.. Matt Vierling's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 89.1-mph.. Matt Vierling has put up a .258 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 3rd percentile.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.61% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.. In the last week, Nico Hoerner's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.. In the last two weeks, Nico Hoerner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

u0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o0.5 -165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The 5th-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. David Peterson will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin McGonigle today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Kevin McGonigle is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#2-best of all teams on the slate).. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kevin McGonigle today.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Zach McKinstry has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.8% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past 14 days.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16% to 20.4%.. Over the last 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 36.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.. Zach McKinstry has been unlucky this year, notching a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .036 deviation.

o0.5 -145
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-5.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-5.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 -209
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The 5th-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. Framber Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Michael Busch in today's game.

u0.5 +141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 -170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Riley Greene has performed at a clip of 34.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.16% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.. By putting up a .288 batting average this year, Kevin McGonigle is ranked in the 91st percentile.

o1.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Busch has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

o1.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

o1.5 +123
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Ian Happ is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his bad side (0) today against Framber Valdez. In the last 14 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 19% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

u1.5 -245
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Matt Vierling will have an advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Matt Vierling has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.8° mark in the past 14 days.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.83% EV

ANALYSIS

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.8% to 13.4%.. In notching a .226 BABIP this year, Dansby Swanson is ranked in the 1st percentile.

u1.5 -240
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an edge today.. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16% to 20.8%.

o1.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an edge in today's matchup.. With a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gleyber Torres has performed in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability.. Gleyber Torres has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.17 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Ben Malgeri has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Ben Malgeri will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u1.5 -330
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-0.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-0.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run ability, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The 5th-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Zach McKinstry will have a tough challenge in today's game.

u1.5 -340
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Carson Kelly has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin Alcantara is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Kevin Alcantara and his 0° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

u1.5 -426
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.. In the last week, Nico Hoerner's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

u1.5 -165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.43% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Hao Yu Lee has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.. Hao Yu Lee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u1.5 -240
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Jake Rogers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jake Rogers's 21.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 94th percentile.

o1.5 +180
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Miguel Amaya will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game.. Miguel Amaya has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph EV.. Miguel Amaya's 21° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 92nd percentile.

o1.5 +195
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. Checking in at the 88th percentile, Kevin McGonigle sports a .365 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +525
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Busch has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.58% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Riley Greene has performed at a clip of 34.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o0.5 +625
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.17% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

o0.5 +575
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.

u0.5 -2500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Hao Yu Lee has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Hao Yu Lee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. As it relates to plate discipline, Hao Yu Lee's ability is quite bad, sporting a 5.91 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Ben Malgeri has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Ben Malgeri will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Today, Gleyber Torres is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.5% rate (98th percentile).. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today's game.. Gleyber Torres's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 89.8-mph average last year has fallen off to 85.3-mph.

u0.5 -1099
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. In the last two weeks, Dillon Dingler's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.. Dillon Dingler's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83-mph in the past 14 days.. Dillon Dingler has been lucky this year, notching a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .027 disparity.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Ian Happ is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his bad side (0) today against Framber Valdez. In the last 14 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 19% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run ability, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The 5th-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Zach McKinstry will have a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -3448
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.49% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .301 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has suffered from bad luck given the .041 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.

o0.5 +700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.6-mph average last season has dropped to 91.5-mph.. Alex Bregman has recorded a .194 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°, Carson Kelly has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.4°) in the past 14 days.. Carson Kelly has notched a .196 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Matt Vierling has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Vierling today.. Matt Vierling's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 89.1-mph.. Matt Vierling has put up a .258 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 3rd percentile.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 1.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 1.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run ability, Jake Rogers ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Jake Rogers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jake Rogers's 21.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 94th percentile.

o1.5 +6000
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Miguel Amaya will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game.. Miguel Amaya has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph EV.. Miguel Amaya's 21° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 92nd percentile.

o0.5 +800
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
David Peterson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Peterson (RP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
David Peterson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Peterson (RP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The Detroit Tigers have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Ben Malgeri, Spencer Torkelson).. It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nick Mahrley) calling pitches in today's game.. David Peterson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.. David Peterson's slider rate has increased by 5% from last season to this one (19.2% to 24.2%) .

o3.5 -162
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Framber Valdez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
F. Valdez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Framber Valdez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
F. Valdez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.77% EV

ANALYSIS

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nick Mahrley) calling pitches in today's game.. Dillon Dingler, the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Framber Valdez has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 7 opposite-handed hitters in today's game.. Framber Valdez has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 7.27 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.07 — a 0.8 K/9 discrepancy.

o4.5 -115
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.73% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.. By putting up a .288 batting average this year, Kevin McGonigle is ranked in the 91st percentile.

o0.5 +226
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +217
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

o0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Riley Greene has performed at a clip of 34.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Busch has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

o0.5 +215
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an edge today.. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16% to 20.8%.

o0.5 +175
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Carson Kelly has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an edge in today's matchup.. With a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gleyber Torres has performed in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability.. Gleyber Torres has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.17 K/BB rate.

o0.5 +230
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.07% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the last two weeks, Dansby Swanson's 56.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.6%.

o0.5 +194
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Matt Vierling will have an advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Matt Vierling has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.8° mark in the past 14 days.

o0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.57% EV

ANALYSIS

Zach McKinstry has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.8% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past 14 days.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16% to 20.4%.. Over the last 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 36.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.. Zach McKinstry has been unlucky this year, notching a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .036 deviation.

o0.5 +286
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.66% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ian Happ pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Ian Happ will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Utilizing Statcast data, Ian Happ is in the 90th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .360.

o0.5 +191
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ben Malgeri will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Ben Malgeri is notably athletic, grading out in the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.76 ft/sec this year.

o0.5 +290
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kevin Alcantara logo
Chicago Cubs logo
K. Alcantara (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Alcantara in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Kevin Alcantara will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup.. Kevin Alcantara will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Kevin Alcantara's quickness has increased this season. His 25.51 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.37 ft/sec now.

o0.5 +347
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hao Yu Lee in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hao Yu Lee will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today.. Placing in the 85th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Hao Yu Lee demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

o0.5 +254
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Miguel Amaya logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Amaya (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Miguel Amaya's BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. This year, there has been a decline in Miguel Amaya's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.93 ft/sec last year to 25.27 ft/sec currently.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Amaya's true offensive talent to be a .294, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .320 wOBA.

u0.5 -310
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Jake Rogers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jake Rogers's 21.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 94th percentile.

o0.5 +190
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.. In the last week, Nico Hoerner's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

u0.5 -260
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
14.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
14.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Riley Greene has performed at a clip of 34.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Riley Greene finds himself in the 94th percentile.

o1.5 +109
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +100
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
13.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
13.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 -117
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
13.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
13.39% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin McGonigle generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.. By putting up a 0.99 K/BB rate this year, Kevin McGonigle has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.. By putting up a .288 batting average this year, Kevin McGonigle is ranked in the 91st percentile.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.89% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

o1.5 -120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Busch has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an edge today.. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16% to 20.8%.

o1.5 -120
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Matt Vierling will have an advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Matt Vierling has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.8° mark in the past 14 days.

o1.5 -113
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Zach McKinstry has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.8% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past 14 days.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16% to 20.4%.. Over the last 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 36.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.. Zach McKinstry has been unlucky this year, notching a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .036 deviation.

o1.5 +135
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gleyber Torres logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Torres (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Gleyber Torres's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an edge in today's matchup.. With a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gleyber Torres has performed in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability.. Gleyber Torres has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.17 K/BB rate.

o1.5 -124
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.79% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the last two weeks, Dansby Swanson's 56.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.6%.

o1.5 +104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 -115
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.83% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ian Happ pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Ian Happ will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Utilizing Statcast data, Ian Happ is in the 90th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .360.

o1.5 +106
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Carson Kelly has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 -115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.. In the last week, Nico Hoerner's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

u1.5 +110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hao Yu Lee in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hao Yu Lee will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today.. Placing in the 85th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Hao Yu Lee demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

o1.5 +130
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Malgeri logo
Detroit Tigers logo
B. Malgeri (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Malgeri's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ben Malgeri will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Ben Malgeri is notably athletic, grading out in the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.76 ft/sec this year.

o1.5 +135
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'bamabilly' picks Detroit at (-104)

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'thirdstring' picks Detroit at (-104)

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