Cincinnati Reds Picks
5th in National League Central
(22 - 20)
Next Game
Wed, May 13
18:40 ET
WAS @ CIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
Brady House o0.5 Total Home Runs (+620)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Brady House might not be a household name yet, but he’s hitting in the middle of the Washington Nationals lineup from the right side and gets a strong matchup today against lefty Nick Lodolo, who was roughed up in his first start back last week while continuing to see his fly-ball rate climb. If Lodolo can’t keep the ball on the ground, it could be a short outing with 14-mph winds blowing out to center field. Returning from the blister that sidelined him, Lodolo surrendered two home runs while recording just 16 outs last week and threw only 78 pitches. That could mean plenty of innings for a Cincinnati Reds bullpen that owns the worst ERA in baseball over the last two weeks at 8.77, along with a league-worst 2.10 HR/9. House went yard yesterday and has four extra-base hits over his last six games with great BlastCon% numbers.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. James Wood has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, CJ Abrams faces a tough challenge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .065 disparity.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin.
Total Home Runs
Curtis Mead o0.5 Total Home Runs (+760)
Projection 0.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+253)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Brady House is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Brady House will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.
