Cincinnati Reds

Picks

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Among all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heriberto Hernandez in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Extreme groundball batters like JJ Bleday tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 16th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Eury Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.

Javier Sanoja is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Javier Sanoja will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. There has been a decrease in Javier Sanoja's average exit velocity this season, from 88.7 mph last year to 86.6 mph now. In notching a .291 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Javier Sanoja is positioned in the 19th percentile for hitting ability.

Eury Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sal Stewart today.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Leo Jimenez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Griffin Conine is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nick Lodolo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Conine today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Griffin Conine will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will bat from his bad side against Nick Lodolo in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Xavier Edwards is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Cincinnati (#1-best of the day).. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's matchup.

Eury Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Stephenson in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson has notched a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

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The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Matt McLain's launch angle of late (29.6° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 20.7° seasonal angle.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 23.3% this season.

Esteury Ruiz is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Esteury Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Esteury Ruiz's true offensive talent to be a .305, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .072 gap between that figure and his actual .377 wOBA.. Utilizing Statcast data, Esteury Ruiz is in the 1st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .167.

When it comes to his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have the upper hand today.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Eury Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle this year (18.7°) is considerably lower than his 22° mark last year.. With a 3.99 K/BB rate this year, Eugenio Suarez has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 12th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Eury Perez.. Elly De La Cruz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Eury Perez in today's matchup.

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, JJ Bleday will have an edge today.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and JJ Bleday will hold that advantage today.

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, JJ Bleday will have an edge today.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and JJ Bleday will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have the upper hand today.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Leo Jimenez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Leo Jimenez will have an advantage today.. Leo Jimenez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.