Cincinnati Reds

5th in National League Central (38 - 42)

Next Game

Sat, Jun 27 16:05 ET

CIN @ PIT Picks

MLB Picks
Game Prop
Cincinnati Reds logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Chase Burns owns a dominant 14-1 NRFI record while carrying a 2.48 xERA over his last two starts. Cincinnati has also failed to score in the first inning in eight straight games, making another scoreless opening frame an appealing option.

Strikeouts Thrown
Connor Burns logo Connor Burns o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-156)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Chase Burns is averaging 10.7 Ks per nine innings, with 7+ strikeouts in his last seven starts.

Burns has finished off the majority of his strikeouts with his slider, while the Pirates have gone down swinging to that pitch 214 times - the fourth-most instances among all clubs.

3 LEG PARLAY
Connor Burns profile picture
Connor Burns o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN
Moneyline
Tyler Stephenson profile picture
Tyler Stephenson o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Bet now
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Chase Burns has dominated hitters lately, averaging 12.66 K/9 over his last four starts while drawing a strikeout-prone Pirates lineup. Jared Jones' recent struggles give Cincinnati the pitching edge, and Tyler Stephenson enters swinging a hot bat with a .333 average and 66.7% hard-hit rate over his last four games.

Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
JJ Bleday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 18.4% to 23.1%.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sal Stewart has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.
Total Bases
Noelvi Marte logo
Noelvi Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Eugenio Suarez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.
Strikeouts Thrown
Jared Jones logo
Jared Jones u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Projection 4.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jared Jones is projected to throw 75 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of the day.. Dan Iassogna grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The #9 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total RBIs
Endy Rodriguez logo
Endy Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Endy Rodriguez will get to bat from his strong side against Chase Burns today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Endy Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total RBIs
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+227)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking Cincinnati

66%
34%

Total PicksCIN 398, PIT 206

Moneyline
CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Total

45% picking Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under

55%
45%

Total PicksCIN 193, PIT 159

Total
Over
Under

CIN @ PIT · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -114 moneyline
CIN PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -114 moneyline

PROJECTION

CIN PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-110
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Cincinnati Reds logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Over 7.5 Total
8.54 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
5.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.54 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
5.7% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -125
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
PIT +1.5 spread
0.30 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
PIT +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.01% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -170
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryan Reynolds has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. In the past week, Bryan Reynolds's 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.5%.. Bryan Reynolds has been lucky this year, compiling a .385 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .047 deviation.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.. JJ Bleday's launch angle lately (-9.3° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 20.5° seasonal angle.

u0.5 +139
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.48% EV

ANALYSIS

In today's matchup, Elly De La Cruz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.4% rate (96th percentile).. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has been lucky given the .032 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year, putting up a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .028 gap.

u0.5 +144
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 -142
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 20th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Eugenio Suarez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Over the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 18.5% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks.

u0.5 +126
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Chase Burns in today's matchup.. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. There has been a decrease in Jake Mangum's average exit velocity this year, from 87.4 mph last year to 83.4 mph now. Jake Mangum's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 86.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 80.8-mph in the last two weeks.. Jake Mangum's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 10.7% to 7.6%.

u0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Noelvi Marte faces a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Noelvi Marte has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 +160
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Jared Jones will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Dunn today.. Blake Dunn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Blake Dunn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 88.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 85.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Blake Dunn has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +175
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 24% this season.

o0.5 -135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.65% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

o0.5 -110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Jose Trevino is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Jose Trevino has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.. Jared Jones will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Trevino in today's matchup.. In today's game, Jose Trevino is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35% rate (82nd percentile).

u0.5 +109
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Sal Stewart will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Sal Stewart will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Callihan in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Tyler Callihan is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. In the last week, Tyler Callihan's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 0%.. Tyler Callihan has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.6-mph dropping to 79.8-mph over the past week.

u0.5 -110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.6% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 -156
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Endy Rodriguez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Endy Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 76.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.. In the last week, Endy Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.. Despite posting a .373 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Endy Rodriguez has had positive variance on his side given the .068 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.76% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Triolo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Jared Triolo will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Jared Triolo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.5-mph EV last year has dropped off to 85.7-mph.. Jared Triolo's launch angle this season (5.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.2° mark last year.

u0.5 -102
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.

o0.5 -145
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.

o0.5 -165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.24% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 18.4% to 23.1%.

o1.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sal Stewart has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.17% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Eugenio Suarez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

u1.5 -230
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.19% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Over the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.

u1.5 -245
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Callihan in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Tyler Callihan is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. In the last week, Tyler Callihan's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 0%.

u1.5 -330
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.91% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Endy Rodriguez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Endy Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 76.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.. In the last week, Endy Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

u1.5 -290
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Dane Myers meets a tough challenge in today's game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dane Myers today.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.56% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Chase Burns will hold the platoon advantage over Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup.. Marcell Ozuna is not very quick, placing in the 11th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.4 ft/sec this year.

u1.5 -360
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.91 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.08% EV

ANALYSIS

Edwin Arroyo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Edwin Arroyo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Edwin Arroyo's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 86.8-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.4-mph over the last 7 days.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
0.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
0.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jared Triolo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Jared Triolo will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.

u1.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 40.1% to 52.8%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.8) may lead us to conclude that Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 6.9 actual HR/600.

o1.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Blake Dunn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Blake Dunn's launch angle of late (21.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal angle.

o1.5 +138
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.80 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle this season (20.2°) is considerably higher than his 12.8° angle last season.

o1.5 +192
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.

o1.5 +160
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. In today's matchup, Elly De La Cruz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.4% rate (96th percentile).. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has been lucky given the .032 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

u0.5 -599
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. There has been a significant improvement in Marcell Ozuna's launch angle from last year's 14.6° to 20.7° this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive talent to be a .325, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .058 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .267 wOBA.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Bryan Reynolds has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Bryan Reynolds has been lucky this year, compiling a .385 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .047 deviation.

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.65% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ryan O'Hearn ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns today.

o0.5 +830
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Chase Burns in today's matchup.. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

u0.5 -4000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year, putting up a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .028 gap.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Sal Stewart will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Sal Stewart will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Edwin Arroyo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.

u0.5 -2222
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler Callihan ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Callihan is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jared Triolo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.

u0.5 -3030
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jose Trevino ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Trevino is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Jose Trevino has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.

u0.5 -3448
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.5% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle lately (24° in the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.

o0.5 +600
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.56% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Dane Myers meets a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Endy Rodriguez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Endy Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 76.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Noelvi Marte faces a tough challenge in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle this season (20.2°) is considerably higher than his 12.8° angle last season.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle in recent games (27.7° in the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 20.2° seasonal figure.

o1.5 +20000
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.19% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 24% this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt McLain's true offensive ability to be a .316, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .024 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .292 wOBA.

o0.5 +920
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-25.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-25.85% EV

ANALYSIS

Blake Dunn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Blake Dunn's launch angle of late (21.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +1200
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-27.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-27.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 20.9%.

o0.5 +760
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Jared Jones logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Jones (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Jones logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Jones (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jared Jones is projected to throw 75 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of the day.. Dan Iassogna grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The #9 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u5.5 -110
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.74% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +290
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.18% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.03% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Endy Rodriguez will get to bat from his strong side against Chase Burns today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Endy Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +275
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.34% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +207
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +227
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 18.4% to 23.1%.

o0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sal Stewart has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.12% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.

o0.5 +184
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Callihan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Burns today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Callihan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +295
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle this season (20.2°) is considerably higher than his 12.8° angle last season.

o0.5 +254
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.57% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 24% this season.

o0.5 +250
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. There has been a significant improvement in Dane Myers's launch angle from last year's 10.7° to 18.6° this year.. Dane Myers has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important ability for batting average), ranking in the 81st percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.

o0.5 +239
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jared Triolo has had some very poor luck given the .037 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

o0.5 +330
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.09% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +267
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 40.1% to 52.8%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.8) may lead us to conclude that Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 6.9 actual HR/600.

o0.5 +280
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Chase Burns in today's matchup.. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. There has been a decrease in Jake Mangum's average exit velocity this year, from 87.4 mph last year to 83.4 mph now

u0.5 -340
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Blake Dunn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Blake Dunn's launch angle of late (21.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +300
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.39% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +123
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.

o1.5 +100
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.28% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 24% this season.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
10.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
10.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sal Stewart has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Endy Rodriguez will get to bat from his strong side against Chase Burns today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Endy Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +145
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.06% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 18.4% to 23.1%.

o1.5 +105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +131
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle this season (20.2°) is considerably higher than his 12.8° angle last season.

o1.5 +125
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.28% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Callihan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Burns today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Callihan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.51% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 -135
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.

o1.5 +114
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. There has been a significant improvement in Dane Myers's launch angle from last year's 10.7° to 18.6° this year.. Dane Myers has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important ability for batting average), ranking in the 81st percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jared Triolo has had some very poor luck given the .037 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Blake Dunn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Blake Dunn's launch angle of late (21.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal angle.

o1.5 -115
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Konnor Griffin logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
K. Griffin (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-9.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Konnor Griffin logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
K. Griffin (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-9.56% EV

ANALYSIS

Konnor Griffin is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Batting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Konnor Griffin encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Konnor Griffin's 5.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 4th percentile.

u1.5 -120
BetMGM logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -114 moneyline
CIN PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -114 moneyline

PROJECTION

CIN PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-110
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Cincinnati Reds logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Over 7.5 Total
8.54 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
5.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.54 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
5.7% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -125
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
PIT +1.5 spread
0.30 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
PIT +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.01% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -170
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryan Reynolds has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. In the past week, Bryan Reynolds's 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.5%.. Bryan Reynolds has been lucky this year, compiling a .385 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .047 deviation.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.. JJ Bleday's launch angle lately (-9.3° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 20.5° seasonal angle.

u0.5 +139
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.48% EV

ANALYSIS

In today's matchup, Elly De La Cruz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.4% rate (96th percentile).. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has been lucky given the .032 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year, putting up a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .028 gap.

u0.5 +144
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 -142
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 20th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Eugenio Suarez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Over the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 18.5% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks.

u0.5 +126
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Chase Burns in today's matchup.. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. There has been a decrease in Jake Mangum's average exit velocity this year, from 87.4 mph last year to 83.4 mph now. Jake Mangum's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 86.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 80.8-mph in the last two weeks.. Jake Mangum's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 10.7% to 7.6%.

u0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Noelvi Marte faces a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Noelvi Marte has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 +160
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Jared Jones will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Dunn today.. Blake Dunn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Blake Dunn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 88.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 85.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Blake Dunn has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +175
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 24% this season.

o0.5 -135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.65% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

o0.5 -110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Jose Trevino is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Jose Trevino has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.. Jared Jones will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Trevino in today's matchup.. In today's game, Jose Trevino is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35% rate (82nd percentile).

u0.5 +109
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Sal Stewart will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Sal Stewart will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Callihan in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Tyler Callihan is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. In the last week, Tyler Callihan's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 0%.. Tyler Callihan has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.6-mph dropping to 79.8-mph over the past week.

u0.5 -110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.6% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 -156
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Endy Rodriguez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Endy Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 76.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.. In the last week, Endy Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.. Despite posting a .373 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Endy Rodriguez has had positive variance on his side given the .068 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.76% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Triolo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Jared Triolo will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Jared Triolo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.5-mph EV last year has dropped off to 85.7-mph.. Jared Triolo's launch angle this season (5.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.2° mark last year.

u0.5 -102
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.

o0.5 -145
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.

o0.5 -165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.24% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 18.4% to 23.1%.

o1.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sal Stewart has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.17% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Eugenio Suarez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

u1.5 -230
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.19% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Over the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.

u1.5 -245
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Callihan in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Tyler Callihan is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. In the last week, Tyler Callihan's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 0%.

u1.5 -330
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.91% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Endy Rodriguez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Endy Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 76.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.. In the last week, Endy Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

u1.5 -290
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Dane Myers meets a tough challenge in today's game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dane Myers today.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.56% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Chase Burns will hold the platoon advantage over Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup.. Marcell Ozuna is not very quick, placing in the 11th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.4 ft/sec this year.

u1.5 -360
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.91 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.08% EV

ANALYSIS

Edwin Arroyo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Edwin Arroyo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Edwin Arroyo's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 86.8-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.4-mph over the last 7 days.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
0.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
0.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jared Triolo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Jared Triolo will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.

u1.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 40.1% to 52.8%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.8) may lead us to conclude that Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 6.9 actual HR/600.

o1.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Blake Dunn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Blake Dunn's launch angle of late (21.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal angle.

o1.5 +138
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.80 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle this season (20.2°) is considerably higher than his 12.8° angle last season.

o1.5 +192
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.

o1.5 +160
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. In today's matchup, Elly De La Cruz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.4% rate (96th percentile).. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has been lucky given the .032 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

u0.5 -599
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. There has been a significant improvement in Marcell Ozuna's launch angle from last year's 14.6° to 20.7° this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive talent to be a .325, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .058 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .267 wOBA.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Bryan Reynolds has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Bryan Reynolds has been lucky this year, compiling a .385 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .047 deviation.

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.65% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ryan O'Hearn ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns today.

o0.5 +830
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Chase Burns in today's matchup.. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

u0.5 -4000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year, putting up a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .028 gap.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Sal Stewart will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Sal Stewart will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Edwin Arroyo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.

u0.5 -2222
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler Callihan ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Callihan is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jared Triolo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.

u0.5 -3030
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.2% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jose Trevino ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Trevino is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Jose Trevino has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.

u0.5 -3448
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.5% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle lately (24° in the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.

o0.5 +600
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.56% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Dane Myers meets a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Endy Rodriguez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Endy Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 76.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Noelvi Marte faces a tough challenge in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle this season (20.2°) is considerably higher than his 12.8° angle last season.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle in recent games (27.7° in the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 20.2° seasonal figure.

o1.5 +20000
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.19% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 24% this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt McLain's true offensive ability to be a .316, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .024 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .292 wOBA.

o0.5 +920
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-25.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-25.85% EV

ANALYSIS

Blake Dunn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Blake Dunn's launch angle of late (21.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +1200
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-27.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-27.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 20.9%.

o0.5 +760
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Jared Jones logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Jones (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Jones logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Jones (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jared Jones is projected to throw 75 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of the day.. Dan Iassogna grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The #9 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u5.5 -110
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.74% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +290
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.18% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.03% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Endy Rodriguez will get to bat from his strong side against Chase Burns today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Endy Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +275
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.34% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +207
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +227
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 18.4% to 23.1%.

o0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sal Stewart has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.12% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.

o0.5 +184
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Callihan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Burns today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Callihan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +295
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle this season (20.2°) is considerably higher than his 12.8° angle last season.

o0.5 +254
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.57% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 24% this season.

o0.5 +250
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. There has been a significant improvement in Dane Myers's launch angle from last year's 10.7° to 18.6° this year.. Dane Myers has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important ability for batting average), ranking in the 81st percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.

o0.5 +239
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jared Triolo has had some very poor luck given the .037 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

o0.5 +330
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.09% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +267
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jose Trevino logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Trevino (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 40.1% to 52.8%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.8) may lead us to conclude that Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 6.9 actual HR/600.

o0.5 +280
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Chase Burns in today's matchup.. Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. There has been a decrease in Jake Mangum's average exit velocity this year, from 87.4 mph last year to 83.4 mph now

u0.5 -340
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Blake Dunn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Blake Dunn's launch angle of late (21.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +300
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.39% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +123
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.

o1.5 +100
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.28% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 24% this season.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
10.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
10.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sal Stewart has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Endy Rodriguez logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
E. Rodriguez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Endy Rodriguez will get to bat from his strong side against Chase Burns today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Endy Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +145
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.06% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today.. JJ Bleday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 18.4% to 23.1%.

o1.5 +105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +131
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle this season (20.2°) is considerably higher than his 12.8° angle last season.

o1.5 +125
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Callihan logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
T. Callihan (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.28% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Callihan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Burns today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Callihan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.51% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 -135
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 14 days.

o1.5 +114
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dane Myers logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
D. Myers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Dane Myers's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. There has been a significant improvement in Dane Myers's launch angle from last year's 10.7° to 18.6° this year.. Dane Myers has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important ability for batting average), ranking in the 81st percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Triolo logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Triolo (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jared Triolo has had some very poor luck given the .037 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Blake Dunn logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
B. Dunn (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Blake Dunn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Blake Dunn's launch angle of late (21.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal angle.

o1.5 -115
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Mangum logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
J. Mangum (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Konnor Griffin logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
K. Griffin (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-9.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Konnor Griffin logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
K. Griffin (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-9.56% EV

ANALYSIS

Konnor Griffin is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the league.. Batting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Konnor Griffin encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Konnor Griffin's 5.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 4th percentile.

u1.5 -120
BetMGM logo

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Moneyline

'dragon5868' picks Pittsburgh at (-102)

dragon5868 is #1 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (17-8-1) and +14555 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Moneyline

'StevenB606' picks Cincinnati at (-118)

StevenB606 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (46-31-2) and +15635 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
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Total

'StevenB606' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (8.0)

StevenB606 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (46-31-2) and +15635 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'Kozman06' picks Pittsburgh at (-102)

Kozman06 is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (28-25-2) and +8780 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
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Total

'Kozman06' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (8.0)

Kozman06 is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (28-25-2) and +8780 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'Jerrybook' picks Cincinnati at (-118)

Jerrybook is #2 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (43-29-1) and +11805 units on the season.

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PIT
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Total

'Jerrybook' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (8.0)

Jerrybook is #2 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (43-29-1) and +11805 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'bigggjohnson' picks Pittsburgh at (-102)

bigggjohnson is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (33-18-2) and +11340 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Total

'bigggjohnson' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (8.0)

bigggjohnson is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (33-18-2) and +11340 units on the season.

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Under
Total

'shuu' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (8.0)

shuu is #3 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (48-24-0) and +11485 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'luckyme1' picks Cincinnati at (-118)

luckyme1 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (38-21-1) and +10308 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Total

'luckyme1' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (8.0)

luckyme1 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (38-21-1) and +10308 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Total

'Andrew333_' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (7.0)

Andrew333_ is #4 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (22-11-1) and +9875 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'Andrew333_' picks Pittsburgh at (-102)

Andrew333_ is #4 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (22-11-1) and +9875 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Total

'cincinnatijoseph' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (8.0)

cincinnatijoseph is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (27-15-0) and +10220 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'cincinnatijoseph' picks Cincinnati at (-110)

cincinnatijoseph is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (27-15-0) and +10220 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Moneyline

'Capizzano2000' picks Cincinnati at (-118)

Capizzano2000 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (41-27-0) and +10055 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Total

'Capizzano2000' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (8.0)

Capizzano2000 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (41-27-0) and +10055 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'moman' picks Pittsburgh at (-102)

moman is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (29-15-1) and +9555 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Moneyline

'dawgs91' picks Cincinnati at (-118)

dawgs91 is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (36-16-1) and +9710 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
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Total

'dawgs91' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (8.0)

dawgs91 is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (36-16-1) and +9710 units on the season.

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'moman' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (8.0)

moman is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (29-15-1) and +9555 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Total

'BammBamm64' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (7.5)

BammBamm64 is #9 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (26-17-1) and +8640 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'BammBamm64' picks Pittsburgh at (-102)

BammBamm64 is #9 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (26-17-1) and +8640 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Total

'miacity' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (8.0)

miacity is #9 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (39-29-2) and +9410 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'miacity' picks Pittsburgh at (-109)

miacity is #9 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (39-29-2) and +9410 units on the season.

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CIN
PIT
Moneyline

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