Seattle @ Houston Picks & Props

Leo Rivas has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 3.4% seasonal rate to 9.1% over the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Leo Rivas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 92-mph of late. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Leo Rivas's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%. Leo Rivas has put up a .325 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile. Sporting a 1.56 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Leo Rivas has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Victor Robles has put up a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 87th percentile. Placing in the 100th percentile, Victor Robles sports a .372 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Eugenio Suarez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Eugenio Suarez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (21.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 18.8° figure last year. Eugenio Suarez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (26.3° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 21.8° seasonal figure.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Randy Arozarena has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 95-mph in the last week. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Randy Arozarena has posted a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Extreme flyball hitters like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Over the last 14 days, Cal Raleigh has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 18.9% to 24.3%. This season, Cal Raleigh has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.9 mph compared to last year's 94.9 mph mark.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage in today's game. Dominic Canzone has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the past two weeks. Dominic Canzone has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 106.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 94.3-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Dominic Canzone's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Victor Caratini is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Victor Caratini will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Bryan Woo) today. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark. Jorge Polanco's launch angle of late (22.7° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 16.6° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. J.P. Crawford has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.7-mph. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 16.6% to 19.7%.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Julio Rodriguez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.8-mph average. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .341 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .361 — a .020 disparity. Julio Rodriguez has recorded a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Jesus Sanchez will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Jesus Sanchez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 19th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average skill. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Yainer Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Yainer Diaz has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.9% seasonal rate to 14.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Yainer Diaz has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.7-mph.

Carlos Correa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Among all major league parks, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Naylor's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Josh Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Brown in today's game. Josh Naylor has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate. Checking in at the 92nd percentile, Josh Naylor has posted a .290 batting average this year.

Among all major league parks, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Christian Walker has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 92.6-mph in the past two weeks. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has experienced some negative variance given the .027 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Jose Altuve will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. By putting up a .369 BABIP this year, Jake Meyers finds himself in the 99th percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage today.