Boston @ Houston Picks & Props

BOS vs HOU Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Spencer Arrighetti logo Spencer Arrighetti u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Arrighetti has been hit hard in consecutive starts (12.27 ERA and 2.45 WHIP) since returning from a broken thumb, and he wasn’t sharp during his rehab assignments in the minors (5.73 ERA, 1.45 WHIP), either. This checks out as a daunting matchup, too. Boston sports the fourth-highest wOBA and below-average 21.3 K% against righties since the calendar flipped to July.

Earned Runs Allowed
Dustin May logo Dustin May o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

In his first start with the Red Sox, Dustin May allowed three earned runs to the Royals. He’s cashed the Over in earned runs allowed in three of his last four outings, previously giving up four earned runs to Boston while still a member of the Dodgers. He’s only cashed the Under in earned runs twice in his previous eight appearances. May’s 4.93 ERA is already unsightly, and he’s been substantially worse on the road, posting a 7.09 mark.

Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Grading out in the 85th percentile for power, Alex Bregman has paced 28.4 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Taylor Trammell logo
Taylor Trammell o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league.. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Taylor Trammell will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Taylor Trammell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker u1.5 Total Bases (-169)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 7th-worst venue in the league for run-scoring.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage over Christian Walker today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split.
Total Bases
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela u1.5 Total Bases (-179)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 7th-worst venue in the league for run-scoring.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.
Total Bases
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Grading out in the 85th percentile for power, Alex Bregman has paced 28.4 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total Bases
Trevor Story logo
Trevor Story o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Trevor Story ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.. Wilyer Abreu has hit 35.3 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 95th percentile for power.
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BOS vs HOU Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

71% picking Boston vs Houston to go Over

71%
29%

Total PicksBOS 381, HOU 158

Total
Over
Under

BOS vs HOU Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Taylor Trammell Total Hits Props • Houston

Taylor Trammell
T. Trammell
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Taylor Trammell will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Taylor Trammell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Taylor Trammell logo

Taylor Trammell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Taylor Trammell will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Taylor Trammell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Roman Anthony Total Hits Props • Boston

Roman Anthony
R. Anthony
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Roman Anthony has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Roman Anthony logo

Roman Anthony

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Roman Anthony has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Arrighetti in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida logo

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Arrighetti in today's game.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Houston

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Dustin May today... and even better, May has a huge platoon split. Jesus Sanchez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jesus Sanchez logo

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Dustin May today... and even better, May has a huge platoon split. Jesus Sanchez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.

Wilyer Abreu logo

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Houston

Ramon Urias
R. Urias
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

Ramon Urias logo

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran logo

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Abraham Toro Total Hits Props • Boston

Abraham Toro
A. Toro
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league.

Abraham Toro logo

Abraham Toro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Ceddanne Rafaela logo

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Bregman logo

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Yainer Diaz
Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Yainer Diaz logo

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Trevor Story logo

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

Jeremy Pena
J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jeremy Pena logo

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Houston

Christian Walker
C. Walker
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Christian Walker logo

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Houston

Carlos Correa
C. Correa
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Correa logo

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

Jose Altuve
J. Altuve
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jose Altuve logo

Jose Altuve

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston

Victor Caratini
V. Caratini
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Victor Caratini has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

BOS vs HOU Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Boston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dispnum1 5-5-0 +16630
2 stakay125 7-3-0 +16380
3 Jackson2399 6-4-0 +15369
4 regger22 8-2-0 +14785
5 Andrew333_ 7-3-0 +13995
6 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +13785
7 Shitman 8-2-0 +13440
8 Coakley 7-3-0 +12975
9 Sandsaver727 3-7-0 +12835
10 TheTotalMan 9-1-0 +12815
All Red Sox Money Leaders

Houston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 uradonkey 5-5-0 +25682
2 MLBFan8848 6-4-0 +19240
3 vlkvlk2012 5-5-0 +19170
4 Enelra18 7-3-0 +18580
5 sleeper2239 6-4-0 +17535
6 swtknguy 6-4-0 +17160
7 Midway28 6-4-0 +16230
8 DarthRaider27 4-6-0 +16035
9 ewatson15 7-3-0 +15815
10 mdterrrps 7-3-0 +13795
All Astros Money Leaders
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