Boston @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Ryan O'Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's game.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Despite posting a .204 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Wong has been unlucky given the .092 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296. Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Connor Wong sits with a .315 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Jake Cronenworth will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Jake Cronenworth has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Roman Anthony will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. By putting up a .330 BABIP this year, Trevor Story is positioned in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. In comparison to his 92.3-mph average last year, Romy Gonzalez's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 94.7 mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Romy Gonzalez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.6-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph in recent games. In the last two weeks, Romy Gonzalez's 72.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today. Xander Bogaerts has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7% seasonal rate to 15.8% over the last 14 days.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph in recent games.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Freddy Fermin will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Abraham Toro has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 89-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 9th-worst ballpark in the game for LHB batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 85.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.7-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Sporting a .398 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Alex Bregman is positioned in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Jackson Merrill will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jackson Merrill's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (22.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 17.3° seasonal figure.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Wilyer Abreu's launch angle this season (24.2°) is significantly better than his 19° angle last year. Wilyer Abreu's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (24° over the last week) is considerably better than his 14.2° seasonal angle.

Manny Machado's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game. Manny Machado has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.1-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's game. Ramon Laureano has posted a .370 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 91st percentile. Checking in at the 92nd percentile, Ramon Laureano has put up a .338 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand in today's game. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Gavin Sheets has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.