Philadelphia @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 88.8-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Bryson Stott has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 46.5° figure in the past week's worth of games. Compared to last year, Bryson Stott has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.2% to 20.7% this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge today. Max Kepler has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past two weeks. Max Kepler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.9-mph EV. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 17.9% on the season to 40% over the last week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.335) provides evidence that Max Kepler has had bad variance on his side this year with his .287 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. In the past week, Edmundo Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 107.9-mph in recent games. Edmundo Sosa has notched a .336 BABIP this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 9th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Trea Turner's speed has gotten better this year. His 29.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.25 ft/sec now. Trea Turner has compiled a .276 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .286 batting average this year, Trea Turner is positioned in the 89th percentile.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today. Bryce Harper has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.3% to 19.4%.

Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Nick Castellanos has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 32.3° angle over the last 7 days. Nick Castellanos's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (17.5°) is a considerable increase over his 13.9° angle last season. Using Statcast data, Nick Castellanos grades out in the 78th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .272.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 48.2% on the season to 64% over the past two weeks. Despite posting a .311 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has experienced some negative variance given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331. Ranking in the 95th percentile, J.T. Realmuto has put up a .349 BABIP this year.

Over the past 14 days, Harrison Bader's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Otto Kemp's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 20.7% on the season to 42.1% over the past two weeks. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Kemp has experienced some negative variance this year. His .302 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .331.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week. Brandon Marsh has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph average.

Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Corey Seager's launch angle recently (28.6° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 10.7° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Wyatt Langford will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 99.4-mph in the last week.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 14th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today. Kyle Schwarber has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 20.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past two weeks. Kyle Schwarber has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 94.9-mph figure.

Kyle Higashioka will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Kyle Higashioka will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Kyle Higashioka's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Josh Jung will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Marcus Semien will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ezequiel Duran will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Ezequiel Duran has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 89.8 mph mark.

Sam Haggerty's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sam Haggerty is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The switch-hitting Sam Haggerty will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Sam Haggerty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Burger's launch angle this year (16.5°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° mark last season.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. Jonah Heim has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .018 difference.