Detroit @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

DET vs PHI Picks

MLB Picks
Total Strikeouts
Zack Wheeler logo Zack Wheeler o7.5 Total Strikeouts (-155)
Pick made: 4 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Zack Wheeler currently ranks in the 78th percentile or higher in chase rate, whiff rate and strikeout rate. As a result, Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his past eight starts. This success is likely to continue against Detroit, a team he has struck out eight times in each of his two career meetings.

Total Strikeouts
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal o8.5 Total Strikeouts (+105)
Pick made: 4 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

A strikeout artist, Tarik Skubal ranks in the 94th percentile or higher in chase rate, whiff rate and strikeout rate. Entering this game in particularly dominant form, Skubal boasts a 1.42 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over his past six starts. He has recorded 10 or more strikeouts in three of those five outings.

Outs Recorded
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal o18.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Ryan Gilbert image
Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst

Tarik Skubal has recorded 19+ outs in 10 of 21 starts this season, including three of his last five and seven of his last 11 outings. He's been great at pitching deep into games on the road recently as well, recording 20, 21, and 21 outs in his last three road starts. The lefty allowed three hits in seven shutout innings against the Phillies last season.

Total RBIs
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.. Riley Greene has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Harrison Bader logo
Harrison Bader o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Using Statcast data, Harrison Bader is in the 80th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 25.600.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Javier Baez logo
Javier Baez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Javier Baez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10°, Javier Baez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29° figure in the past 7 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Wenceel Perez logo
Wenceel Perez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his better side against Zack Wheeler in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 21.4%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-190)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Colt Keith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today.. Colt Keith has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Edmundo Sosa logo
Edmundo Sosa o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.. Riley Greene has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an edge in today's game.
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DET vs PHI Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

DET vs PHI Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Weston Wilson Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Weston Wilson
W. Wilson
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.4
Best Odds

Weston Wilson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Weston Wilson is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup. 72% of the time that Weston Wilson has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Weston Wilson logo

Weston Wilson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.4
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.4

Weston Wilson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Weston Wilson is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup. 72% of the time that Weston Wilson has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Colt Keith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. Colt Keith has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Colt Keith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. Colt Keith has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Compared to last season, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 51.9% this season.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Compared to last season, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 51.9% this season.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game. Riley Greene has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game. Riley Greene has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa
E. Sosa
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Edmundo Sosa logo

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Harrison Bader logo

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Dillon Dingler's launch angle of late (25.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 17.7° seasonal angle. Dillon Dingler's 17.7° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 82nd percentile.

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Dillon Dingler's launch angle of late (25.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 17.7° seasonal angle. Dillon Dingler's 17.7° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 82nd percentile.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.

Nick Castellanos logo

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Trea Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today.

Trea Turner logo

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Trea Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today.

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his better side against Zack Wheeler in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 21.4%.

Wenceel Perez logo

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his better side against Zack Wheeler in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 21.4%.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.

J.T. Realmuto logo

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Javier Baez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 10°, Javier Baez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29° figure in the past 7 days.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Javier Baez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 10°, Javier Baez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29° figure in the past 7 days.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an edge in today's game.

Kerry Carpenter logo

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an edge in today's game.

Otto Kemp Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Otto Kemp
O. Kemp
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Otto Kemp will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Otto Kemp logo

Otto Kemp

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Otto Kemp will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.70
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Max Kepler has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
All Tigers Money Leaders

Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders
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