Tampa Bay @ New York Picks & Props

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Anthony Volpe has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10% to 20.7%. Anthony Volpe has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #27 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Chandler Simpson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Chandler Simpson usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Junior Caminero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Among all the teams today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 31.5% to 38.7%.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Among all the teams today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. In the last two weeks, Taylor Walls has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 20.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 15.8% to 19.4%. Taylor Walls has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .223 figure is considerably lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Ryan McMahon will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ryan McMahon has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.4-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 6th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph to 96.6-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's game. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage in today's game. Jonathan Aranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Stroman in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Cody Bellinger's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand today. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot. Jasson Dominguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Posting a .349 BABIP this year, Jasson Dominguez has performed in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ben Rice is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Wells has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.6-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last season's 16.9° to 20.8° this year.

Jake Mangum's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Among all the teams today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Jake Mangum has compiled a .285 batting average this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jonny DeLuca has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Paul Goldschmidt has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Austin Slater has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.