Atlanta @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst ballpark in baseball for left-handed batting average. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -14° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. From last year to this one, Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 21.5% to 15.7%. Corey Seager has been unlucky this year, compiling a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .007 gap.

Nick Allen has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 15.2%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle this year (20.4°) is a significant increase over his 16.7° angle last season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Barrel% of Sean Murphy has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.6% last year to 14.6% this season. Sean Murphy's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 40.1% to 45.5%. Sean Murphy has posted a .357 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Evan Carter will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a 2 K/BB rate this year, Evan Carter has shown strong plate discipline, placing in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Leiter today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Harris II has been unlucky this year. His .247 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .293.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Posting a 1.75 K/BB rate this year, Josh Smith has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 78th percentile. In notching a .274 batting average this year, Josh Smith finds himself in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. This year, the hardest ball Wyatt Langford has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.1 mph (a reliable metric to study power), checking in at the 78th percentile.

Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (17.2°) is considerably better than his 14.2° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this season (18.3°) is significantly higher than his 14.8° mark last season. Adolis Garcia's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 79th percentile this year.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Jurickson Profar has notched a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile. Posting a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jurickson Profar has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 96th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the game. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.5% rate last season to 19.2% this year. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (17°) is significantly higher than his 8.8° angle last year. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 115.5 mph this year, grading out in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Joc Pederson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Leiter in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin has posted a .347 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranked in the 85th percentile, Drake Baldwin has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game this year (91.6-mph).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Riley has suffered from bad luck this year. His .327 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351. This year, Austin Riley's 15.4% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers. This year, Austin Riley has an average exit velocity of 92.5 mph, which ranks among the elite in baseball at the 91st percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today's matchup. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph average. Matt Olson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13.6% to 18.4%.

Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today. Rowdy Tellez has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last year to 15.5% this year. This season, Rowdy Tellez has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 92.1 mph mark. Rowdy Tellez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12% to 17.6%.

Kyle Higashioka has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.