St. Louis @ Chicago Picks & Props

Wrigley Field profiles as the #24 field in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Dansby Swanson has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5.9% in the past two weeks. By putting up a 3.72 K/BB rate this year, Dansby Swanson has displayed poor plate discipline, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #24 field in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Over the last week, Masyn Winn's 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Nolan Gorman will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Nolan Gorman has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 94.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #24 field in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. There has been a significant decline in Willson Contreras's launch angle from last year's 14.1° to 10.4° this season.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #24 field in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore In today's matchup, Ian Happ is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (77th percentile). In the last week's worth of games, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%. Ian Happ's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 86.4-mph over the last week.

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field profiles as the #24 field in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nico Hoerner has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will be challenged by MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the last 7 days. In the past week's worth of games, Nico Hoerner's 13.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field profiles as the #24 field in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Arenado in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Victor Scott II can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Victor Scott II has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #24 field in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The #7 field in the league for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Drew Pomeranz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Burleson today. Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Burleson today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.

The #7 field in the league for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Batting from the same side that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Kyle Tucker will not have the upper hand in today's game. Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Kyle Tucker's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 93.2-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 88.5-mph in the last week. Compared to his seasonal mark of 19.2°, Kyle Tucker has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (16.2°) over the last two weeks.

The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Thomas Saggese has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.

The #7 field in the league for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Batting from the same side that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Brendan Donovan will have a tough challenge in today's game. Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Pedro Pages will have the upper hand today.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Matt Shaw will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Justin Turner will have an advantage in today's matchup.