Detroit @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Bats such as Spencer Torkelson with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shane Baz who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Barrel% of Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 14.5% this year. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (25.9° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 21.1° seasonal angle.

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Curtis Mead has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Curtis Mead will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Matt Thaiss will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Matt Thaiss has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 24.85 ft/sec to 25.42 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Junior Caminero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Extreme groundball batters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Parker Meadows will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Parker Meadows generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz. Parker Meadows's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.6-mph now compared to just 87-mph then.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 15.8% to 19.7%. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Taylor Walls's 40.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.7%.

Jake Mangum's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Extreme groundball batters like Jake Mangum are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage today. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Danny Jansen has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 16.4% to 19.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Compared to his seasonal average of 17°, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.1° figure in the last two weeks. Dillon Dingler's 17° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 81st percentile. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Dillon Dingler has posted a .348 BABIP this year.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's matchup. Riley Greene has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.4% rate last season to 19.1% this season.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Trey Sweeney will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game.

The #4 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field. Jack Flaherty will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 94-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 89.4-mph over the last two weeks.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Kameron Misner will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kameron Misner's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (36° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 15.3° seasonal angle.

Gleyber Torres's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gleyber Torres has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz today. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 54.6%. In the past 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 54.6%. Utilizing Statcast data, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 78th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .273.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Colt Keith's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colt Keith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge in today's matchup. Colt Keith has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 14 days.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. In the last 7 days, Javier Baez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 23.1%. Grading out in the 89th percentile, Javier Baez has posted a .291 batting average this year.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.