Arizona @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 24th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team on the slate today. In the last week's worth of games, Santiago Espinal's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 86.2 mph to 78.3 mph. Santiago Espinal's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (6.3°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.3° mark last season. Santiago Espinal's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 14.5% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Over the past week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 92.1 mph to 82.4 mph. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has posted a .248 BABIP this year, checking in at the 13th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. The Barrel% of Corbin Carroll has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.3% last year to 17.6% this season.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Alek Thomas has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Alek Thomas has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.1% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last two weeks. Over the last two weeks, Alek Thomas has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 24.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 8.9°.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13% to 20.8%. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 20.8% on the season to 31.4% in the past two weeks.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Tim Tawa will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Ranking in the 78th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.26 ft/sec this year, Tim Tawa is notably athletic.

Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ketel Marte's true offensive talent to be a .376, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .422 wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge today. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Will Benson is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Will Benson pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In comparison to his 89.4-mph average last year, Will Benson's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 94.3 mph.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Elly De La Cruz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Elly De La Cruz are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have an edge in today's game. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. TJ Friedl is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. TJ Friedl will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Spencer Steer will have an edge in today's game. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Jose Trevino will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Last season, Jose Trevino had an average launch angle of 6.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 10.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Randal Grichuk will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Randal Grichuk pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. When it comes to plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's talent is quite good, sporting a 1.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Garrett Hampson will hold that advantage today. Garrett Hampson ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.2% rate since the start of last season).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Connor Joe will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today's game. Connor Joe has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 85.3-mph figure.

Gavin Lux has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.