Boston @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Sal Frelick is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme flyball bats like Jake Bauers usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game.

Marcelo Mayer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an edge in today's game.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Caleb Durbin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Caleb Durbin's true offensive talent to be a .296, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .032 difference between that mark and his actual .264 wOBA.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. With a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Wong grades out in the 89th percentile.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Isaac Collins will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Kristian Campbell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Kristian Campbell has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .224 BA is a good deal lower than his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's matchup. David Hamilton is notably quick, ranking in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.98 ft/sec this year.

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Rhys Hoskins tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Nick Sogard is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Nick Sogard has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .283 figure is deflated compared to his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Trevor Story has been unlucky this year, putting up a .263 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .039 deviation.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.6% rate last season to 14% this season.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. In the past week's worth of games, Carlos Narvaez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .364. Sporting a .363 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Carlos Narvaez is positioned in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.