Boston @ Detroit Picks & Props

BOS vs DET Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal u18.5 Outs Recorded (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Twenty-five points aren't a lot to pay for this total, which is past the key number of 17.5. Tarik Skubal projects for 17.5 outs but coming out for the seventh inning is a tough ask vs. this Boston offense. Skubal is an elite pitcher, but he is also not a starter who throws 95+ pitches every five days. He is coming off a season-high 96 pitches and is 6-2 to the Under on this total this season. It’s actually a good spot to add Under 4.5 hits for +218 as the books think the two props are negatively correlated.

Hits Allowed
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal u4.5 Hits Allowed (-143)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Skubal has only allowed 37 hits, cashing the Under on his 'hits allowed' line in five of his last six outings — giving up only two knocks last time out against the Rangers and four before that to the Angels.

Total Home Runs
Javier Baez logo Javier Baez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Javier Baez is undoubtedly one of the best stories in the big leagues. After falling off a cliff over his first few years with the Tigers, he’s back in business in 2025. The veteran is hitting .319 with five home runs, and he just went deep twice in Tuesday’s win over the Boston Red Sox. Both were three-run bombs, with one coming in the bottom of the 11th to win the game. The former first-round pick has all five of his homers in the last 10 games. He’s really heating up, and Tuesday’s performance is only going to fuel him more.

Total RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Trevor Story logo
Trevor Story o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Trevor Story will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kristian Campbell logo
Kristian Campbell o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 13th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. Kristian Campbell is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Kristian Campbell will have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Nick Sogard logo
Nick Sogard o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Tarik Skubal in today's game.. By putting up a .261 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nick Sogard finds himself in the 79th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Carlos Narvaez logo
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Carlos Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.. Over the past 7 days, Carlos Narvaez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph of late.
Outs Recorded
Hunter Dobbins logo
Hunter Dobbins u15.5 Outs Recorded (+104)
Projection 14.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hunter Dobbins is projected to throw 81 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate today.. The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The Detroit Tigers have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in this matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rob Refsnyder logo
Rob Refsnyder o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an edge in today's game.
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BOS vs DET Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

79% picking Detroit

21%
79%

Total PicksBOS 188, DET 714

Moneyline
BOS
DET
Moneyline

BOS vs DET Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Alex Bregman will have an advantage today.

Alex Bregman logo

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Alex Bregman will have an advantage today.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batters such as Wilyer Abreu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tarik Skubal who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Wilyer Abreu logo

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batters such as Wilyer Abreu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tarik Skubal who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Rafael Devers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year's 93.1-mph EV.

Rafael Devers logo

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Rafael Devers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year's 93.1-mph EV.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

Nick Sogard
N. Sogard
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Tarik Skubal in today's game. By putting up a .261 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nick Sogard finds himself in the 79th percentile.

Nick Sogard logo

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Tarik Skubal in today's game. By putting up a .261 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nick Sogard finds himself in the 79th percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Ceddanne Rafaela has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 14.9% to 23.3%.

Ceddanne Rafaela logo

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Ceddanne Rafaela has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 14.9% to 23.3%.

Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

Kristian Campbell
K. Campbell
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 13th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Kristian Campbell is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Kristian Campbell will have the upper hand today.

Kristian Campbell logo

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 13th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Kristian Campbell is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Kristian Campbell will have the upper hand today.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Trevor Story will have an advantage today. Trevor Story has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 28.07 ft/sec to 28.56 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Trevor Story logo

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Trevor Story will have an advantage today. Trevor Story has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 28.07 ft/sec to 28.56 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Despite posting a .295 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has had some very poor luck given the .038 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

Jarren Duran logo

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Despite posting a .295 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has had some very poor luck given the .038 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an edge in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder logo

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an edge in today's game.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Carlos Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Carlos Narvaez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.9°, Carlos Narvaez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 17.7° figure in the past week.

Carlos Narvaez logo

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Carlos Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Carlos Narvaez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.9°, Carlos Narvaez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 17.7° figure in the past week.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Torkelson tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Torkelson tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's game.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today's game.

Kerry Carpenter logo

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today's game.

Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit

Trey Sweeney
T. Sweeney
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Trey Sweeney will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins today. Trey Sweeney will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Trey Sweeney's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40%.

Trey Sweeney logo

Trey Sweeney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Trey Sweeney will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins today. Trey Sweeney will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Trey Sweeney's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40%.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Javier Baez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Javier Baez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Javier Baez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Javier Baez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Dillon Dingler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Dillon Dingler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Dillon Dingler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Dillon Dingler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's matchup.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's matchup.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's game. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Zach McKinstry sits with a .291 batting average this year.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's game. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Zach McKinstry sits with a .291 batting average this year.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Colt Keith will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Colt Keith will have an advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Boston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dispnum1 5-5-0 +16630
2 stakay125 7-3-0 +16380
3 Jackson2399 6-4-0 +15369
4 regger22 8-2-0 +14785
5 Andrew333_ 7-3-0 +13995
6 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +13785
7 Shitman 8-2-0 +13440
8 Coakley 7-3-0 +12975
9 Sandsaver727 3-7-0 +12835
10 TheTotalMan 9-1-0 +12815
All Red Sox Money Leaders

Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
All Tigers Money Leaders
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