Pittsburgh @ New York Picks & Props

PIT vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
David Peterson logo David Peterson u17.5 Outs Recorded (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

New York Mets lefty David Peterson is coming off a season-high 104 pitches, which could mean a lesser workload for a pitcher who is already 4-3 to the Under on this total this season. It’s the light-hitting Pittsburgh Pirates but Peterson rarely gets deep as just two of his seven starts have gone for more than 91 pitches. That makes the triple-digit outing even more of a worry for his length today. The last time Peterson threw 104 more pitches was in 2023 where he tossed 110 pitches and lasted just 61 pitches the next outing despite going four innings and one earned run.

Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Runs (-105)
Pick made: 7 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Soto has run hot and cold to start his tenure with the Mets, and he strung together an 11-for-30 heater with nine runs and a .474 on-base percentage across eight contests prior to his recent two-game funk that's resulted in an 0-for-9 stretch at the dish. The tough pitching matchup against Pittsburgh ace Paul Skenes is built into the price, and Soto has been elite with a career .417 wOBA and .989 OPS against right-handed hurlers. Plus, he’s already scored 30 runs across 41 games this year.

Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
Outs Recorded
Paul Skenes logo
Paul Skenes u17.5 Outs Recorded (+150)
Projection 17.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The New York Mets projected lineup projects as the best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Paul Skenes in today's matchup.. Paul Skenes's fastball velocity has decreased 1.6 mph this year (97.3 mph) below where it was last year (98.9 mph).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Henry Davis will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup.. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.233) implies that Henry Davis has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .210 actual wOBA.
Outs Recorded
David Peterson logo
David Peterson u17.5 Outs Recorded (+105)
Projection 16.6 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 9 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Andrew McCutchen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today.. Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today.
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PIT vs NYM Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

69% picking NY Mets

31%
69%

Total PicksPIT 296, NYM 664

Moneyline
PIT
NYM
Moneyline

PIT vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Joey Bart will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Joey Bart will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Andrew McCutchen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Andrew McCutchen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Ke'Bryan Hayes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Ke'Bryan Hayes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Henry Davis will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.233) implies that Henry Davis has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .210 actual wOBA.

Henry Davis logo

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Henry Davis will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.233) implies that Henry Davis has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .210 actual wOBA.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today.

Juan Soto logo

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today.

Matt Gorski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Matt Gorski
M. Gorski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Matt Gorski is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Matt Gorski will have an edge today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Matt Gorski logo

Matt Gorski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Matt Gorski is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Matt Gorski will have an edge today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Luisangel Acuna Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luisangel Acuna
L. Acuna
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luisangel Acuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Luisangel Acuna's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 82.7-mph over the course of the season to 86.6-mph recently.

Luisangel Acuna logo

Luisangel Acuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luisangel Acuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Luisangel Acuna's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 82.7-mph over the course of the season to 86.6-mph recently.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Pete Alonso logo

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's game. Brett Baty has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past week, Brett Baty's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 107.8-mph of late.

Brett Baty logo

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's game. Brett Baty has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past week, Brett Baty's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 107.8-mph of late.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 39.9% to 48.4%.

Jeff McNeil logo

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 39.9% to 48.4%.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Tyrone Taylor
T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today. Over the past two weeks, Tyrone Taylor's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.5%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) may lead us to conclude that Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .248 actual batting average.

Tyrone Taylor logo

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today. Over the past two weeks, Tyrone Taylor's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.5%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) may lead us to conclude that Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .248 actual batting average.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Mark Vientos logo

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jared Triolo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Jared Triolo logo

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jared Triolo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Nimmo logo

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph average. In the past week, Francisco Alvarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.1°.

Francisco Alvarez logo

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph average. In the past week, Francisco Alvarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.1°.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor logo

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Tommy Pham has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV. Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, compiling a .221 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .083 gap.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Tommy Pham has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV. Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, compiling a .221 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .083 gap.

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Alexander Canario will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .273 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329.

Alexander Canario logo

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Alexander Canario will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .273 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Liover Peguero
L. Peguero
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Liover Peguero will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Liover Peguero logo

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Liover Peguero will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
All Pirates Money Leaders

NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
All Mets Money Leaders
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