Milwaukee @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Jackson Chourio will be in a tough position today. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. In the last week, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%. From last season to this one, Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16% to 10.4%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers in today's matchup.

Tobias Myers will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 4.4°, Yandy Diaz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.4°) in the past 14 days. Yandy Diaz has recorded a .247 BABIP this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

The 5th-deepest CF fences in the majors are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field. In the past 7 days, Chandler Simpson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 5.9%. Chandler Simpson has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the past 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Chandler Simpson has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 82.8-mph on his flyballs.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ben Rortvedt will have the handedness advantage over Tobias Myers in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Despite posting a .309 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes William Contreras has had bad variance on his side given the .042 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .351.

Junior Caminero's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Bats such as Junior Caminero with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tobias Myers who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Tobias Myers in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Caleb Durbin's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 24.2% on the season to 31% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Taylor Walls's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.6%. Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .255 rate is deflated compared to his .297 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today's matchup. Sal Frelick has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 86.2-mph average to last year's 83.4-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rhys Hoskins has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.2% seasonal rate to 24% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Rhys Hoskins has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 93.6-mph over the past 14 days.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Isaac Collins pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brice Turang is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand in today's game. Jake Bauers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jake Bauers has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.5% rate last season to 18.5% this season.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers today. Bats such as Travis Jankowski with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tobias Myers who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Kameron Misner will hold the platoon advantage over Tobias Myers in today's matchup. Kameron Misner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.