Tampa Bay @ New York Picks & Props

The #2 venue in the game for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today's game. Today, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (89th percentile). Typically, hitters like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Taj Bradley.

The #2 venue in the game for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Will Warren will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Typically, batters like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Will Warren. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren today. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Brandon Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph of late.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 20th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage over Will Warren in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jonathan Aranda has notched a .369 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Jonathan Aranda sits with a .353 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Extreme flyball hitters like Danny Jansen tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Will Warren. Danny Jansen's launch angle this year (24.9°) is considerably higher than his 21.6° angle last year. Danny Jansen's launch angle lately (30.5° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 24.9° seasonal figure. Despite posting a .254 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Danny Jansen has experienced some negative variance given the .062 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316. When it comes to plate discipline, Danny Jansen's talent is quite good, posting a 1.35 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 96th percentile.

Jose Caballero has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an advantage today.

J.C. Escarra will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. J.C. Escarra will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. In comparison to his 89.5-mph average last year, Junior Caminero's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.4 mph.

Taylor Walls has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 14% on the season to 40% in the last week's worth of games. Taylor Walls has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .209 figure is quite a bit lower than his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Curtis Mead has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Curtis Mead's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 48.3% on the season to 57.1% over the past week. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Curtis Mead has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .249 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.

Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trent Grisham has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last year's 94.1-mph figure. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Trent Grisham's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.3-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph lately.

Kameron Misner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Kameron Misner will have an edge in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Ben Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jasson Dominguez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Taj Bradley. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jasson Dominguez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 94.3-mph in the past 14 days.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game. Cody Bellinger has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph figure. As it relates to plate discipline, Cody Bellinger's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 81st percentile.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Taj Bradley in this game. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Oswaldo Cabrera's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.9-mph over the course of the season to 86.9-mph recently. Oswaldo Cabrera has notched a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Paul Goldschmidt has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.7% to 17.2%. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94-mph.

Pablo Reyes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Travis Jankowski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren today. As it relates to his batting average, Travis Jankowski has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .201 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .229.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 87.6-mph EV. Anthony Volpe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 95.7-mph in the past 7 days. As it relates to his batting average, Anthony Volpe has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .242 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.

Oswald Peraza will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Oswald Peraza's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. The standard deviation of Oswald Peraza's launch angle has been very consistent lately (31.8° in the last 7 days), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Christopher Morel has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.