MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 5, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 5 • 1:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Parker Messick shut out the Dodgers in his opening start and gets a Cubs offense that has scored fewer than three runs in three of their last five contests.

The Guardians’ sticks should get the best of Edward Cabrera and his history of command issues.

Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Bases (-205)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Miguel Rojas logo
Miguel Rojas u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. The #3 park in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Miguel Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.2-mph in this match-up, the 7th-best of the day for hitters.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Austin Slater logo
Austin Slater u0.5 Total Hits (+122)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium projects as the #27 venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. Austin Slater hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Typically, hitters like Austin Slater who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Fried.. Against the weak defense of New York's 3rd-worst infield of the day), Austin Slater has a very favorable matchup given his extreme groundball tendencies.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.2-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Walker Buehler is a proven veteran arm and is coming off a tough start, but Ranger Suarez is a gas can that the Padres' lineup can hammer for a solid road win.

Expect a bounce-back outing for Buehler and a Padres plus-money victory. 

Total Hits
Carlos Narvaez logo
Carlos Narvaez u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Narvaez today.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball bats like Taylor Ward generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Braxton Ashcraft.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sun, Apr 5 • 2:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Carter Jensen will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.. Jake Bauers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Kansas City (#1-worst of the day).
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Apr 5 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Simeon Woods Richardson logo
Simeon Woods Richardson u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-148)
Projection 3.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Tampa Bay Rays with a 19.2% underlying K%.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.6-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.. Given that groundball batters have a big advantage over flyball pitchers, Simeon Woods Richardson and his 40.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in this game going up against 3 opposing GB bats.. Simeon Woods Richardson didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last GS and accumulated 2 Ks.
Total RBIs
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Luke Keaschall's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luke Keaschall is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.6-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, Apr 5 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson u0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average.. The 6th-deepest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.
Total Hits
Will Benson logo
Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (-110)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Will Benson is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average.. Will Benson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Will Benson today.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, Apr 5 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-107)
Projection 2.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. Hunter Goodman has big-time HR ability (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+103)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. Ezequiel Tovar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Apr 5 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Apr 5 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average.. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average.. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sun, Apr 5 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+103)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for righty batting average.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 20° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Martin Perez in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jose Fernandez logo
Jose Fernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+194)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for righty batting average.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 20° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Jose Fernandez will have the handedness advantage over Martin Perez today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Fernandez will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 5 • 4:40 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Cleveland Guardians logo o7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Guardians starter Slade Cecconi pitched to a 4.99 xERA in 2025 while posting the second-worst barrel rate and hard-hit rate among pitchers with at least 100 innings. He got rocked in his season debut and now he faces a Cubs lineup that leads the majors in hard-hit rate and is due for positive regression. The Cubs are sending Shota Imanaga to the hill. He had a 3.73 ERA last year but his FIP was significantly worse at 4.86. He also has a tendency to get hit hard and struggled in his season debut. 

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Guardians are sending Slade Cecconi to the mound after he surrendered six runs in 4 1/3 innings in his season debut. He had a 4.99 xERA in 2025 while posting the second-worst barrel rate and hard-hit rate among pitchers with at least 100 innings. The Cubs respond with southpaw Shota Imanaga who pitched to a 3.73 ERA with a 0.99 WHIP last year. Both teams are struggling at the dish but the Cubs were significantly more productive last year. They also lead the majors in hard-hit rate while the Guardians are 27th. Expect the Cubs big bats to break out against Cecconi.

View 13 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Apr 5 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the coldest weather of all games today at 43°.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.
Total Bases
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Colt Keith is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
View 10 Picks

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