San Francisco @ New York Picks & Props

Trent Grisham is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Trent Grisham's 12.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Trent Grisham's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 85th percentile at 94.5 mph. Trent Grisham ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, LaMonte Wade Jr. has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .321 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .356.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Tyler Fitzgerald grades out in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20% rate since the start of last season). Sporting a .363 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyler Fitzgerald grades out in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. There has been a significant improvement in Matt Chapman's launch angle from last year's 16.1° to 28° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee as the 7th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability. Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Jung Hoo Lee will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Jung Hoo Lee's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 44% to 64.7%.

Extreme flyball bats like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Wilmer Flores has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.7-mph average to last season's 83.5-mph EV. Wilmer Flores has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile with a 1.98 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Heliot Ramos has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 41.9% to 59.4%.

Austin Wells may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure. Austin Wells has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .225 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Austin Wells has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile with a 1.94 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Willy Adames has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 88.6-mph figure.

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 4% rate last year to 18.2% this year. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have the upper hand in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Patrick Bailey has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last year's 92-mph EV. When it comes to his batting average, Patrick Bailey has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .231 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257. The standard deviation of Patrick Bailey's launch angle since the start of last season (25.5°) is in the 92nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Mike Yastrzemski with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Marcus Stroman who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Mike Yastrzemski has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 18.1° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (91st percentile).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray today. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Aaron Judge has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 27.1% rate last year to 32.3% this season.

Oswaldo Cabrera has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Cody Bellinger has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Ben Rice has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Oswald Peraza has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.