MLB Picks

The Cubs are positioned to have a breakout day at the dish and have scored 24 runs across their past four games. Of course, the Pirates have also been dangerous with a deeper and more potent lineup than years past and rank seventh in wOBA against lefties to start the season.

Chicago will receive a boost with Seiya Suzuki making his season debut this afternoon, and the Cubbies have also been on the unlucky side to start the year with ranks of second in hard-hit rate and sixth in barrel percentage leading to a 25th-ranked BABIP. Additionally, Pittsburgh righty Carmen Mlodzinski has surrendered a 68.0% hard-hit rate through two starts, and three of his five offerings have negative pitch values.

Carpenter has already taken Marlins starter Chris Paddack deep before, going 3-for-5 with a bomb. The slugger has two long balls this season, and Paddack has an ERA over eight so far. 

When starting against a northpaw this year, Kerry Carpenter has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Kerry Carpenter pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. When it comes to plate discipline, Kerry Carpenter's talent is quite poor, sporting a 5.66 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 4th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 11th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Will Benson is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Will Benson has been pulled from the game early 61% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. Will Benson has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) over the last 7 days.. Notching a -1.7° launch angle in the past 7 days suggests that Will Benson has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 11th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Will Benson is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Will Benson has been pulled from the game early 61% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. Will Benson has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) over the last 7 days.. Notching a -1.7° launch angle in the past 7 days suggests that Will Benson has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Gimenez also has two home runs this season through the first few weeks while hitting .264. The infielder isn’t a huge power threat, but he does have pop in his bat. Moreso, I’m focusing on the matchup tonight. The Jays lineup will face Simeon Woods Richardson, and Gimenez is 3-for-10 off him with a bomb.

Bell has clubbed three home runs so far, and he's 4-for-16 lifetime against Patrick Corbin with three bombs. Bell was 3-for-4 on Thursday with a long ball. 

Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .326 out of the gate, but has just one home run on the year. It’s a nice spot for him to double that output. Stanton is a career .316 hitter off Matz in 19 at-bats, with a pair of home runs and four RBI.

Tampa Bay owns just a .503 lifetime OPS against Max Fried, and with the Yankees left-hander off to a 2–0 start with a 1.35 ERA, the Bronx Bombers will one-up their AL East counterparts at the Trop.

It’s been a great week for Baltimore Orioles SS Gunnar Henderson, who has hits in five of his last six games. That includes three home runs, a pair of doubles, and five runs batted in. He’s also scored at least one run in all but one game. Giants’ SP Landen Roupp is coming off a brutal 9-0 loss to the Mets, where he was tagged for seven hits and seven runs. Roupp's career WHIP of 1.425 is nothing to fear.

Hitting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Pete Alonso will be in a tough position today.. Pete Alonso has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 18.8% rate last season has fallen off to 7.7% this year.

It’s been a slow start to the year for Ronald Acuna Jr, hitting just .204 with no homers in his first 49 at-bats, but there are signs of him heating up.He rapped a pair of doubles against the Angels last time out, doubling his two-base total on the year. He’s 1-for-3 in his career against Slade Cecconi, but this matchup is more about how the righty got rocked in his lone road start of the year. Cecconi was pelted for six hits and six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in an 8-0 loss to the Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.

Milwaukee ranks Top 5 in runs per game and OPS, and the Brewers are set to take advantage of Nationals right-hander Jake Irvin, whom they have slashed .351/.439/.625 against. The home team should roll on Friday.

Let’s keep riding these Kansas City Royals Unders. They’ve moved to 9-4 to the Under and have scored just three runs over their last three games, all without facing top-end pitching. Bobby Witt can't get it going, and the middle of the order has yet to find any power. The White Sox are still a Bottom-5 offense. This sets up similarly to yesterday’s 2-0 game, with another comparable starting pitching matchup on tap against the Chicago White Sox. Conditions also lean Under, with temperatures still below 60 degrees and winds now blowing in at 10 mph after blowing out at 20 mph last night. This number looks a bit inflated and should close closer to a flat 8.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Pedro Pages (the Cardinals's expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.. The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium's right field dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Jordan Walker will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games today at 76%.

When estimating his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games today at 76%.. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for long-balls.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Tatsuya Imai throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today.

In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Tatsuya Imai throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Dodgers starter Tyler Glasnow has been dealing to start the year with a tidy 3.00 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 2.44 xFIP while holding opposing hitters to a miniscule 27.6% hard-hit rate. Los Angeles is also second in both wOBA and ISO against righties, so I expect them to do damage against Texas starter Kumar Rocker given his 9.29 ERA,1.97 WHIP and 5.01 xFIP on the highway since the beginning of 2025.

The #2 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. In MLB, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate at 76%.. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow today.. Evan Carter hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.