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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
+112 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
5.18 |
-129 
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +160 
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
- Tigers are 8-1 in Monteros last 9 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.50 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
-124
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -275 
|
|
3.83 |
+106
|
u8.5 -118 
|
-1.5 +200
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+165 
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.92 |
-190 
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +126
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+140
|
o7.5 -113
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.28 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
-104
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150 
|
|
4.23 |
-109
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+102
|
o8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -198
|
|
5.01 |
-120
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Junks last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+138
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.90 |
-154
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +136
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+180
|
o9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.51 |
-210
|
u9.5 -119
|
-1.5 +105
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.16 |
+205
|
o8.5 -135
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
6.33 |
-240
|
u9.5 -134
|
-1.5 -110
|
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Warrens last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
CLE
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-104)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I like the Guardians at this price, starting with Foster Griffin, who owns a 3.26 ERA across his full season and draws an Orioles lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching. Griffin also has the starting-pitching edge over Shane Baz, who enters 5-15 with a 3.91 ERA. Cleveland has another advantage once the starters leave: since August 4, the Guardians rank fourth in defense and fifth in bullpen ERA. With three different run-prevention edges working in Cleveland's favor, I'll back the Guardians on the moneyline.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
ATL (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Atlanta Braves are trading as a 55% favorite on Polymarket in their matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays, and I think there's an edge to exploit at that number because I price the Braves closer to a 57% favorite. There are two things I particularly like about this matchup for Atlanta, and both should help neutralize Tampa Bay's speed and running game. First, Reynaldo López isn't afraid to challenge hitters with velocity at the top of the zone, which makes it more difficult for the Rays' slap hitters to put the ball on the ground and beat out plays at first base. Second, Sean Murphy has a quick transfer and an elite pop time, giving him the ability to slow down Tampa Bay's running game once the Rays get runners on base.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
