San Diego @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Ryan O'Hearn has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Ryan O'Hearn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Freddy Fermin will have an edge in today's game. Freddy Fermin has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 89-mph figure.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Matt Shaw pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Matt Shaw has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Nick Pivetta.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.338) may lead us to conclude that Gavin Sheets has had bad variance on his side this year with his .323 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Carson Kelly will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Sporting a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly grades out in the 75th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Jake Cronenworth has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.3% seasonal rate to 13.6% in the past two weeks. Jake Cronenworth has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Jackson Merrill has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in the majors. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

When estimating his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of the day. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's game.

Elias Diaz has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.