Tampa Bay @ Toronto Picks & Props

In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Bob Seymour will have an advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .222 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bob Seymour has had some very poor luck given the .069 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Yandy Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 85th percentile, Yandy Diaz has posted a .356 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Ranking in the 95th percentile, Yandy Diaz has posted a .294 batting average this year.

In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Addison Barger is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Addison Barger has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) may lead us to conclude that Addison Barger has had bad variance on his side this year with his .318 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today. Brandon Lowe has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 17th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Chandler Simpson will have the upper hand today. Chandler Simpson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Chandler Simpson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 85.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 81.1-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Jonathan Aranda's 12.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 82nd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Josh Lowe is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Josh Lowe has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .222 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Daulton Varsho has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last season to 16.9% this year.

In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Carson Williams has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 94.6-mph.

Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Tristan Gray will have an edge in today's game. Tristan Gray hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tristan Gray's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 48.3% on the season to 56.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hunter Feduccia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Hunter Feduccia has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.309) may lead us to conclude that Hunter Feduccia has been unlucky this year with his .234 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Junior Caminero has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph mark. Junior Caminero's launch angle in recent games (26.7° in the past week) is a considerable increase over his 11.1° seasonal angle.

Jake Mangum's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. In the past 7 days, Jake Mangum's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.2% up to 16.7%. In the past two weeks, Jake Mangum's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 94.4-mph lately.

When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have an advantage today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage over Ian Seymour today. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has recorded a .281 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Ian Seymour. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Santander has been unlucky given the .071 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game. George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, George Springer will have the upper hand in today's game. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Ernie Clement will hold the platoon advantage over Ian Seymour in today's matchup. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.9°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27° angle over the last 14 days.

Richie Palacios has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Richie Palacios will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman today. Richie Palacios hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Richie Palacios has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark. Richie Palacios has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.42 K/BB rate.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Myles Straw will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) provides evidence that Myles Straw has had some very poor luck this year with his .261 actual batting average. Myles Straw ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.9% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's matchup.