New York @ Baltimore Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Jackson Holliday hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Jackson Holliday will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Paul Goldschmidt's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 89.1-mph over the last 14 days. Posting a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Paul Goldschmidt finds himself in the 75th percentile. Placing in the 91st percentile, Paul Goldschmidt has put up a .335 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Jordan Westburg will have an edge today. Jordan Westburg hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Ryan Mountcastle's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have the upper hand today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Jazz Chisholm Jr. has significantly improved, with an increase from 10% last year to 16% this season. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (21.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.2° mark last year.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's matchup. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (20.8°) is considerably higher than his 16.9° figure last season. Austin Wells's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 17.9% on the season to 40% in the last 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) may lead us to conclude that Austin Wells has had some very poor luck this year with his .216 actual batting average.

Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Alex Jackson will have an advantage today. Alex Jackson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alex Jackson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last year's 93.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Trent Grisham has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 94.4-mph over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. In the last two weeks, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.7-mph over the course of the season to 106.3-mph of late. Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle this season (19.2°) is significantly better than his 14.3° mark last season. In the last week's worth of games, Giancarlo Stanton's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.4%.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game. Ryan McMahon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past week, Ryan McMahon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph in recent games. Last season, Ryan McMahon had an average launch angle of 10.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 14°.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Jeremiah Jackson will have an edge in today's matchup. Jeremiah Jackson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Jeremiah Jackson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph in recent games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Aaron Judge has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 26% seasonal rate to 34.6% in the last two weeks. Aaron Judge has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 95.6-mph to 100.7-mph over the last two weeks.

Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky this year, compiling a .286 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .024 gap.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ben Rice has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 90-mph average.

Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Coby Mayo will have an edge in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Coby Mayo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Coby Mayo has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.3°, Coby Mayo has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 37.5° figure over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 17.8% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

Jose Caballero has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. Jose Caballero's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 86.4-mph now compared to just 83.5-mph then. In the last 7 days, Jose Caballero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 108.1-mph of late. Posting a .323 BABIP this year, Jose Caballero is positioned in the 80th percentile.

Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Jorge Mateo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dylan Beavers has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.