San Diego @ New York Picks & Props

Among all parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team today. Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph EV. Gavin Sheets's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (12.3°) is considerably better than his 9° mark last season.

Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today. Brett Baty has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Brett Baty ranks in the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .342. Brett Baty has posted a .315 BABIP this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Jonah Tong today. Ryan O'Hearn has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team today. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 19.5% on the season to 25% in the last week.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Luis Arraez will have the upper hand today. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team today. In the past week's worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team today. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 14.2% on the season to 25% in the past week's worth of games.

Among all parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today. Cedric Mullins has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 91.9-mph over the last week. Cedric Mullins's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (25.5° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 15° seasonal mark.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team today. In the last week's worth of games, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 18.2%.

Freddy Fermin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team today. Freddy Fermin's launch angle lately (22.7° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 12.8° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team today. Ramon Laureano has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 92.7-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Francisco Lindor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 13.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Jonah Tong today. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team today.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game. In comparison to his 88.7-mph average last year, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.4 mph. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.4% to 16.7%.

Among all parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez today. Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. By putting up a 1.04 K/BB rate this year, Jeff McNeil has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. Mark Vientos has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.2-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pete Alonso has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last season to 18.7% this season.

Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage today. Luis Torrens has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .225 rate is deflated compared to his .301 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Torrens's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 85th percentile this year. Luis Torrens has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), grading out in the 100th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.