San Diego @ New York Picks & Props

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Clay Holmes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. In the past 14 days, Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.8-mph over the course of the season to 88.3-mph recently.

Hitting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Freddy Fermin faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Ryan O'Hearn's launch angle recently (15.7° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 11.7° seasonal figure. In notching a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Ryan O'Hearn grades out in the 77th percentile for hitting ability.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph figure. Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Clay Holmes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's game. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past week, Mark Vientos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 23.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV. There has been a significant improvement in Francisco Alvarez's launch angle from last season's 6.8° to 11.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Clay Holmes will have the handedness advantage against Ramon Laureano in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cedric Mullins has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.9-mph EV. In the last 14 days, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 31.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°.

Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's game. Brett Baty has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. This season, Brett Baty has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.2 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark. Brett Baty has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is deflated compared to his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Francisco Lindor's launch angle recently (25.6° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 14.5° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Jackson Merrill has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the last week. In the last 14 days, Jackson Merrill's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph of late.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game. Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Jeff McNeil's 62.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%. Jeff McNeil has shown favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 99th percentile with a 1.02 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Jake Cronenworth has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 94.1-mph over the past week. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 14.3% on the season to 27.3% in the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the majors. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 18.6% this season.