Baltimore @ Toronto Picks & Props

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.6-mph mark. In the last week's worth of games, Colton Cowser's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.8%.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Coby Mayo has been unlucky this year, posting a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .042 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Last season, Andres Gimenez had an average launch angle of 9.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 12.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive talent to be a .359, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .022 difference between that figure and his actual .337 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Jackson Holliday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

Ryan Mountcastle's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Ryan Mountcastle has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 7 days. In the past 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph lately.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Tyler O'Neill's launch angle this season (24.5°) is a significant increase over his 20° mark last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.359) provides evidence that Tyler O'Neill has had some very poor luck this year with his .307 actual wOBA.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph mark. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 10.6% to 16.7%.

When estimating his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.6-mph to 95.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In comparison to his 89.3-mph average last year, Alejandro Kirk's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Dylan Beavers will hold the platoon advantage over Max Scherzer in today's game. In the past week, Dylan Beavers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph of late.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Ernie Clement will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Ernie Clement's launch angle in recent games (20.3° over the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 17° seasonal angle. Sporting a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Ernie Clement has performed in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage today.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last 7 days, Jeremiah Jackson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 15.4%. Jeremiah Jackson has compiled a .300 batting average this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

Samuel Basallo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Samuel Basallo will have the handedness advantage against Max Scherzer today. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Samuel Basallo has been unlucky given the .043 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

George Springer projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. George Springer will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. George Springer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last season to 16.4% this season.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Davis Schneider will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 24.9°, Davis Schneider has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 43° angle in the past week.

Emmanuel Rivera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Emmanuel Rivera has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 20.5° mark over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) may lead us to conclude that Emmanuel Rivera has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.

Addison Barger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Addison Barger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.8 mph.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today's game. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last season to 17.5% this year. Daulton Varsho has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last year's 91.1-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today. Joey Loperfido will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Joey Loperfido's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 38.5% to 49.2%.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Tyler Heineman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyler Heineman ranks in the 87th percentile with a 19.7° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the league. Tyler Heineman has notched a .360 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile. Tyler Heineman has posted a .305 batting average this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.