Detroit @ Miami Picks & Props

DET vs MIA Picks

MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-145)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Skubal has cashed the Under in earned runs surrendered in four consecutive appearances. In fact, he didn’t allow a single run in three of those starts. Skubal has never faced the Marlins before, but just based on his recent form, it’s hard to imagine they will be able to do much against the most dominant left-hander in the sport. 

Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eric Wagaman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total Bases (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (36.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 20.7° seasonal figure.. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 23.9%.. Using Statcast metrics, Spencer Torkelson grades out in the 87th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 28.100.
Outs Recorded
Sandy Alcantara logo
Sandy Alcantara u17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 17.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #3 venue in baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. Detroit Tigers hitters as a unit place 6th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 9.7% Barrel%.. Collectively, Detroit Tigers bats have shined as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (between 23° and 34°), placing best in baseball.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jake Rogers logo
Jake Rogers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
There has been a significant improvement in Jake Rogers's launch angle from last year's 15.4° to 18.9° this year.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.8) implies that Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 16.7 actual HR/600.. Jake Rogers's 95.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Javier Sanoja logo
Javier Sanoja o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.. Javier Sanoja hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Javier Sanoja will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Joey Wiemer logo
Joey Wiemer o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today.. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Joey Wiemer has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (36.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 20.7° seasonal figure.. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 23.9%.. Using Statcast metrics, Spencer Torkelson grades out in the 87th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 28.100.
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DET vs MIA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Detroit

70%
30%

Total PicksDET 511, MIA 218

Moneyline
DET
MIA
Moneyline

DET vs MIA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Javier Sanoja will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Javier Sanoja will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 35% to 40.8%. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Javier Baez has notched a .319 BABIP this year.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 35% to 40.8%. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Javier Baez has notched a .319 BABIP this year.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Agustin Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Agustin Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Using Statcast data, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 78th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .273.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Using Statcast data, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 78th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .273.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jake Rogers
J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

There has been a significant improvement in Jake Rogers's launch angle from last year's 15.4° to 18.9° this year. Jake Rogers's 95.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

Jake Rogers logo

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

There has been a significant improvement in Jake Rogers's launch angle from last year's 15.4° to 18.9° this year. Jake Rogers's 95.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Dillon Dingler has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week. Dillon Dingler has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.7-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 17°, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 36° mark in the past week's worth of games.

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Dillon Dingler has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week. Dillon Dingler has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.7-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 17°, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 36° mark in the past week's worth of games.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 19.6% on the season to 50% over the past week. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .338 mark is quite a bit lower than his .358 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Gleyber Torres finds himself in the 78th percentile.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 19.6% on the season to 50% over the past week. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .338 mark is quite a bit lower than his .358 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Gleyber Torres finds himself in the 78th percentile.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Eric Wagaman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Eric Wagaman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (36.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 20.7° seasonal figure. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 23.9%.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Spencer Torkelson's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (36.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 20.7° seasonal figure. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 23.9%.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

Parker Meadows
P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Parker Meadows is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Parker Meadows has had bad variance on his side this year. His .216 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246. Parker Meadows is notably athletic, checking in at the 87th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.8 ft/sec this year.

Parker Meadows logo

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Parker Meadows is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Parker Meadows has had bad variance on his side this year. His .216 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246. Parker Meadows is notably athletic, checking in at the 87th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.8 ft/sec this year.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 25%. Kerry Carpenter has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 103.7-mph over the past week.

Kerry Carpenter logo

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 25%. Kerry Carpenter has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 103.7-mph over the past week.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 14th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Riley Greene has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96.4-mph. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 17.9% to 21%.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 14th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Riley Greene has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96.4-mph. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 17.9% to 21%.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 50%. In the last 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 62.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Zach McKinstry has put up a .326 BABIP this year.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 50%. In the last 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 62.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Zach McKinstry has put up a .326 BABIP this year.

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Wenceel Perez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93.8-mph over the past two weeks. Compared to last year, Wenceel Perez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 20.7% this season. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 48.9% on the season to 66.7% in the last two weeks.

Wenceel Perez logo

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Wenceel Perez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93.8-mph over the past two weeks. Compared to last year, Wenceel Perez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 20.7% this season. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 48.9% on the season to 66.7% in the last two weeks.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Heriberto Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Heriberto Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Colt Keith's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge today. Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Colt Keith's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.9%. Colt Keith has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .321 rate is deflated compared to his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Colt Keith's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge today. Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Colt Keith's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.9%. Colt Keith has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .321 rate is deflated compared to his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jakob Marsee Total Hits Props • Miami

Jakob Marsee
J. Marsee
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jakob Marsee is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (60% rate this year). As it relates to plate discipline, Jakob Marsee's ability is quite strong, posting a 2.13 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile.

Jakob Marsee logo

Jakob Marsee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jakob Marsee is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (60% rate this year). As it relates to plate discipline, Jakob Marsee's ability is quite strong, posting a 2.13 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Miami

Joey Wiemer
J. Wiemer
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Joey Wiemer has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

Joey Wiemer logo

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Joey Wiemer has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
All Tigers Money Leaders

Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders
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