Baltimore @ Toronto Picks & Props

In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Samuel Basallo will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Samuel Basallo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (13°) is considerably better than his 9.2° figure last season. Andres Gimenez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 16% on the season to 50% over the past week.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Coby Mayo ranks in the 88th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors.

Dylan Beavers's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Given Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Dylan Beavers will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Dylan Beavers has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .382.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) implies that Nathan Lukes has experienced some negative variance this year with his .255 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Colton Cowser has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.4% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days. Colton Cowser has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 93.6-mph in the past two weeks.

Emmanuel Rivera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In the past two weeks, Emmanuel Rivera's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%. Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .244 mark is quite a bit lower than his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Gunnar Henderson will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Gunnar Henderson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .341 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had some very poor luck given the .019 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

Ryan Mountcastle's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Compared to last season, Ryan Mountcastle has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.6% to 51.6% this season. In the last 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle's 72% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Jackson Holliday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Jackson Holliday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the past week, Jackson Holliday's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.6-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ernie Clement is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Ty France will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41.6% to 49.7%.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jeremiah Jackson has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.9% seasonal rate to 15.2% in the last two weeks. In the past two weeks, Jeremiah Jackson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph in recent games. Checking in at the 97th percentile, Jeremiah Jackson has put up a .309 batting average this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. George Springer will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. George Springer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Myles Straw will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Myles Straw has suffered from bad luck this year. His .298 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319. Myles Straw is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.1% rate this year).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Davis Schneider will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's game.