Pittsburgh @ Baltimore Picks & Props

PIT vs BAL Picks

MLB Picks
1st 5 Innings MoneyLine
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT 1st 5 Innings (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Povich handles lefties well, but the Pirates’ right-handed core of Andrew McCutchen, Bryan Reynolds, and Tommy Pham sets up well, and McCutchen is one of the hottest hitters in baseball. 

Baltimore’s lineup has also struggled with strikeouts against right-handed pitching (23.5%), giving Oviedo and his nearly 11 punchouts per nine a solid path to keep control through five.

 

Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo Baltimore Orioles logo o8.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

I am surprised this opened at 8.5. Neither pitcher is very good, and the Orioles are actually playing some good baseball of late, winning eight of their last 10. I expect the offenses to win out here vs. two shaky pitchers. 

Total RBIs
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #5 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Johan Oviedo in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs
Tommy Pham logo
Tommy Pham o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Tommy Pham will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-159)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Coby Mayo ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Coby Mayo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Coby Mayo ranks in the 88th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the game.
Total Bases
Nick Yorke logo
Nick Yorke u1.5 Total Bases (-202)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Yorke is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 3rd-deepest left field fences among all parks.. Nick Yorke will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. This year, there has been a decline in Nick Yorke's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.92 ft/sec last year to 27.2 ft/sec currently.
Total Bases
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo u1.5 Total Bases (-194)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.. Today, Samuel Basallo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (76th percentile).. Samuel Basallo's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 87-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 82.1-mph over the past 14 days.. In the last two weeks, Samuel Basallo's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39%.
Total Bases
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Andrew McCutchen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 17.4% to 13.8%.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #5 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Johan Oviedo in today's game.
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PIT vs BAL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

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There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

PIT vs BAL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Coby Mayo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Coby Mayo
C. Mayo
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Coby Mayo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Coby Mayo ranks in the 88th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the game.

Coby Mayo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Coby Mayo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Coby Mayo ranks in the 88th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the game.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Colton Cowser
C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Colton Cowser's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Colton Cowser is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's game.

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Colton Cowser's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Colton Cowser is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's game.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an edge today. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an edge today. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Over the last 7 days, Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 105.3-mph recently. Compared to last season, Bryan Reynolds has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.3% to 50.1% this season.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Over the last 7 days, Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 105.3-mph recently. Compared to last season, Bryan Reynolds has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.3% to 50.1% this season.

Dylan Beavers Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Dylan Beavers
D. Beavers
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dylan Beavers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Dylan Beavers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dylan Beavers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Johan Oviedo in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Johan Oviedo in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jackson Holliday
J. Holliday
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Holliday has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Holliday has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tommy Pham will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich in today's game. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tommy Pham will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich in today's game. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Nick Yorke Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Nick Yorke
N. Yorke
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nick Yorke's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Yorke will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.

Nick Yorke

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nick Yorke's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Yorke will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jared Triolo will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game. Jared Triolo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jared Triolo will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game. Jared Triolo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Joey Bart's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Joey Bart will have an advantage today. Joey Bart has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 93-mph figure. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 43.1% to 51.4%.

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joey Bart's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Joey Bart will have an advantage today. Joey Bart has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 93-mph figure. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 43.1% to 51.4%.

Cam Devanney Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Cam Devanney
C. Devanney
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Cam Devanney will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cam Devanney has been lifting the ball well recently, compiling a 50° launch angle over the past 7 days.

Cam Devanney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Cam Devanney will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cam Devanney has been lifting the ball well recently, compiling a 50° launch angle over the past 7 days.

Jeremiah Jackson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jeremiah Jackson
J. Jackson
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeremiah Jackson has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 15.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jeremiah Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeremiah Jackson has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 15.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan Mountcastle
R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Ryan Mountcastle's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan Mountcastle's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game.

Samuel Basallo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Samuel Basallo
S. Basallo
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Samuel Basallo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Samuel Basallo is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Samuel Basallo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Samuel Basallo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 14 days.

Samuel Basallo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Samuel Basallo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Samuel Basallo is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Samuel Basallo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Samuel Basallo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 14 days.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Emmanuel Rivera
E. Rivera
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Emmanuel Rivera is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Emmanuel Rivera has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Emmanuel Rivera's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

Emmanuel Rivera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Emmanuel Rivera is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Emmanuel Rivera has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Emmanuel Rivera's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

Alex Jackson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Alex Jackson
A. Jackson
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Jackson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Alex Jackson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. This season, Alex Jackson has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.4 mph compared to last year's 93.3 mph mark. Alex Jackson's 11.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

Alex Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Jackson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Alex Jackson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. This season, Alex Jackson has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.4 mph compared to last year's 93.3 mph mark. Alex Jackson's 11.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Alexander Canario will have the upper hand in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance this year. His .263 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314. Alexander Canario's 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 85th percentile this year. Alexander Canario's 96.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 89th percentile this year.

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Alexander Canario will have the upper hand in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance this year. His .263 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314. Alexander Canario's 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 85th percentile this year. Alexander Canario's 96.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 89th percentile this year.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Liover Peguero
L. Peguero
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Liover Peguero will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Liover Peguero is very toolsy, ranking in the 93rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.21 ft/sec this year.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The weather forecast predicts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Liover Peguero will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Liover Peguero is very toolsy, ranking in the 93rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.21 ft/sec this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
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Baltimore Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +31435
2 stumpmaker 4-5-1 +24450
3 reddog6008 7-2-1 +20117
4 coach_d5 7-3-0 +18885
5 jnc3lb 5-5-0 +16895
6 mccabe40 3-7-0 +16810
7 MLBFan8848 5-5-0 +16285
8 R_MUNDO 4-6-0 +16065
9 Enelra18 4-5-1 +15445
10 Queefs4 5-4-1 +15185
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