San Diego @ Seattle picks

After returning from injury in poor form, San Diego’s Yu Darvish has started to settle in. Over his past five starts, the right-hander is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.67 WHIP. Meanwhile, the Mariners hand the ball to right-hander Bryan Woo. Perhaps one of the league’s most underappreciated pitchers, Woo is 11-7 with a 2.94 ERA and 0.94 WHIP through 25 starts.

Since making his season debut, Darvish has struggled with the long ball. He’s given up seven of them in only nine outings. Arozarena also has 17 round-trippers off right-handed hurlers, and 16 of his homers have come at T-Mobile Park. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as Major League Baseball's 13th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Yu Darvish. In terms of his home runs, Cal Raleigh has had some very good luck this year. His 52.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 39.2.

When assessing his home run skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Jake Cronenworth will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage today.. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Cole Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.7°, Cole Young has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25.6° figure in the past 14 days.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Gavin Sheets has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today's game.. Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge today.. J.P. Crawford has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.6% to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB's 5th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.