Pittsburgh @ St. Louis props

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Carmen Mlodzinski throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game. Nolan Gorman is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game since none of the available options for the Pittsburgh Pirates share his handedness. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Nolan Gorman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Thomas Saggese has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 14 days. Thomas Saggese has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 92.7-mph in the past 14 days. Placing in the 87th percentile, Thomas Saggese sports a .328 BABIP since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Oneil Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar is certain to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Hitting from the opposite that Carmen Mlodzinski throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today's game. Nathan Church is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game as none of the available options for the Pittsburgh Pirates share his handedness. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Nathan Church has averaged an impressive 99.5-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. In the past week, Jared Triolo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 23.1%. Jared Triolo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jordan Walker has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker's true offensive skill to be a .310, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .271 wOBA.

Masyn Winn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 12.5%. In the past 14 days, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 92.9-mph lately.

Tommy Pham's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Tommy Pham has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 97.4-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Sonny Gray in this game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 44.3% to 49.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carmen Mlodzinski today. Alec Burleson is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game since none of the available options for the Pittsburgh Pirates share his handedness. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 88.3-mph. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 46.6% on the season to 75% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Ivan Herrera will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Ivan Herrera has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last season's 91.5-mph average. In notching a .331 BABIP this year, Ivan Herrera is ranked in the 87th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Andrew McCutchen has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days. Andrew McCutchen has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Willson Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15% up to 23.1%. Willson Contreras has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.9-mph figure.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Over the last 7 days, Spencer Horwitz's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.6%.

Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Henry Davis's quickness has gotten better this year. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.25 ft/sec now. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance this year. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318. This year, Henry Davis's 11.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 76th percentile among his peers. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Henry Davis ranks in the 95th percentile with a 23.3° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.