Busch Stadium
Yohel Pozo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Jack Suwinski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Last season, Jack Suwinski had an average launch angle of 8.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 24°. Jack Suwinski's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (28.2° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 24° seasonal mark. Jack Suwinski has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .163 BA is quite a bit lower than his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Nathan Church will have an edge in today's matchup. Nathan Church is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Nathan Church has averaged an impressive 99.5-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.
Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game. Nolan Gorman may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (33.8° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 23.2° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today. Jordan Walker has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last two weeks. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has had bad variance on his side given the .039 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's game.
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Over the past 7 days, Spencer Horwitz's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.6%. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Spencer Horwitz and his 20.6% rank in the 97th percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Thomas Saggese will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Thomas Saggese has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Thomas Saggese has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 92.7-mph over the past 14 days. Thomas Saggese has recorded a .331 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today. Oneil Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Henry Davis's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.25 ft/sec now. Henry Davis has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .244 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .318 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. This year, Henry Davis's 11.3% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 76th percentile among his peers. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Henry Davis ranks in the 95th percentile with a 23.3° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Andre Pallante in this game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 44.3% to 49.6%.
Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Liover Peguero is remarkably fast, placing in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.14 ft/sec this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Andrew McCutchen has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today. Alec Burleson will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Jared Triolo has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week's worth of games. Jared Triolo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.9-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage today. This season, Ivan Herrera has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.2 mph compared to last year's 91.5 mph mark. Ivan Herrera has put up a .328 BABIP this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 88.3-mph. Over the past week, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.6%.
Masyn Winn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week's worth of games. Masyn Winn has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 89.5-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Willson Contreras has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 15% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 7 days. Willson Contreras has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.9-mph EV.
Tommy Pham's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Tommy Pham has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.1-mph mark.
