Minnesota @ Toronto Picks & Props

MIN vs TOR Picks

MLB Picks
Hits Allowed
Chris Bassitt logo Chris Bassitt u4.5 Hits Allowed (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Bassitt faces the shell of the team that used to be the Twins. Minnesota went through a massive sell-off at the trade deadline just about a month ago, and the results are pretty much what you would expect.

The Twins are 8-15 so far in August with a -30 run differential. They have the second-lowest batting average, the fifth-lowest OPS, and the 10th-highest strikeout rate during that period.

Not many in this Twins lineup have much experience against C Bass, so he should be able to keep them off balance with his absurd pitch mix. I’m taking the Under on 4.5 hits allowed for Bassitt. Something he’s done in four of his last eight starts.

Total
Minnesota Twins logo Toronto Blue Jays logo u8.0 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Twins right-hander Bailey Ober has limited Blue Jays hitters to a .513 OPS over 116 at-bats. Meanwhile, Chris Bassitt has been sharp at home this season, sporting a 2.73 ERA at Rogers Centre. Expect runs to be at a premium in Toronto.

Total RBIs
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Brooks Lee logo
Brooks Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Chris Bassitt) in today's game.. In comparison to his 85.8-mph average last year, Brooks Lee's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88.9 mph.
Total RBIs
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Luke Keaschall is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. Luke Keaschall hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luke Keaschall's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 45.9% on the season to 57.7% in the last 7 days.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Royce Lewis's launch angle recently (30.8° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 18.2° seasonal mark.. Royce Lewis has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 16.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 23.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as MLB's 7th-best home run hitter.. Matt Wallner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Matt Wallner will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the majors's 8th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Byron Buxton has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 17.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week.
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.. Bo Bichette is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Addison Barger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Outman logo
James Outman o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, James Outman will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. In the past week, James Outman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15% up to 20%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.184) provides evidence that James Outman has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .145 actual batting average.
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MIN vs TOR Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

73% picking Toronto

27%
73%

Total PicksMIN 209, TOR 574

Moneyline
MIN
TOR
Total

69% picking Minnesota vs Toronto to go Over

69%
31%

Total PicksMIN 356, TOR 159

Total
Over
Under

MIN vs TOR Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner
M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Matt Wallner will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Matt Wallner has posted a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Matt Wallner logo

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Matt Wallner will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Matt Wallner has posted a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Trevor Larnach
T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Trevor Larnach logo

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Edouard Julien
E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Given Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Edouard Julien will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Edouard Julien has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year's 93.7-mph average.

Edouard Julien logo

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Given Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Edouard Julien will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Edouard Julien has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year's 93.7-mph average.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

Nathan Lukes
N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Nathan Lukes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Nathan Lukes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Nathan Lukes logo

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nathan Lukes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Nathan Lukes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Chris Bassitt) in today's game. In comparison to his 85.8-mph average last year, Brooks Lee's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88.9 mph.

Brooks Lee logo

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Chris Bassitt) in today's game. In comparison to his 85.8-mph average last year, Brooks Lee's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88.9 mph.

Mickey Gasper Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Mickey Gasper
M. Gasper
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Chris Bassitt) today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Mickey Gasper has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .186 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .221.

Mickey Gasper logo

Mickey Gasper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Chris Bassitt) today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Mickey Gasper has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .186 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .221.

Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Austin Martin
A. Martin
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Austin Martin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Austin Martin has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .248 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278.

Austin Martin logo

Austin Martin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Austin Martin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Austin Martin has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .248 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Ryan Jeffers has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.9° mark in the last 14 days.

Ryan Jeffers logo

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Ryan Jeffers has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.9° mark in the last 14 days.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

Bo Bichette
B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent. Bo Bichette is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 45% to 50.7%.

Bo Bichette logo

Bo Bichette

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent. Bo Bichette is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 45% to 50.7%.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Royce Lewis
R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Royce Lewis's launch angle recently (30.8° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 18.2° seasonal mark. Royce Lewis has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is considerably lower than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Royce Lewis logo

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Royce Lewis's launch angle recently (30.8° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 18.2° seasonal mark. Royce Lewis has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is considerably lower than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

James Outman Total Hits Props • Minnesota

James Outman
J. Outman
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, James Outman will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. In the past week, James Outman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15% up to 20%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.184) provides evidence that James Outman has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .145 actual batting average.

James Outman logo

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, James Outman will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. In the past week, James Outman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15% up to 20%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.184) provides evidence that James Outman has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .145 actual batting average.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (13.3°) is quite a bit better than his 9.2° angle last season.

Andres Gimenez logo

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (13.3°) is quite a bit better than his 9.2° angle last season.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ty France
T. France
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today. Compared to last year, Ty France has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.6% to 49.3% this season. Ty France has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .304 mark is a fair amount lower than his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ty France logo

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today. Compared to last year, Ty France has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.6% to 49.3% this season. Ty France has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .304 mark is a fair amount lower than his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kody Clemens
K. Clemens
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Kody Clemens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kody Clemens has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .210 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kody Clemens logo

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Kody Clemens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kody Clemens has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .210 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

Addison Barger
A. Barger
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Addison Barger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Addison Barger logo

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Addison Barger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ernie Clement has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 89.1-mph. In the last two weeks, Ernie Clement's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

Ernie Clement logo

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ernie Clement has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 89.1-mph. In the last two weeks, Ernie Clement's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

Luke Keaschall Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Luke Keaschall
L. Keaschall
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Luke Keaschall is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Luke Keaschall hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luke Keaschall's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 45.9% on the season to 57.7% in the last 7 days.

Luke Keaschall logo

Luke Keaschall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Luke Keaschall is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Luke Keaschall hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luke Keaschall's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 45.9% on the season to 57.7% in the last 7 days.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Byron Buxton
B. Buxton
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Byron Buxton projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Byron Buxton has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 17.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week. Sporting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Byron Buxton is ranked in the 88th percentile for offensive skills.

Byron Buxton logo

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Byron Buxton projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Byron Buxton has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 17.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week. Sporting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Byron Buxton is ranked in the 88th percentile for offensive skills.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. George Springer has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last year to 15.8% this year.

George Springer logo

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. George Springer has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last year to 15.8% this year.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Daulton Varsho
D. Varsho
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Daulton Varsho has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.4% last year to 19.1% this year.

Daulton Varsho logo

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Daulton Varsho has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.4% last year to 19.1% this year.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.7% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the last two weeks. In the last 7 days, Alejandro Kirk's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

Alejandro Kirk logo

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.7% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the last two weeks. In the last 7 days, Alejandro Kirk's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Minnesota Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Midway28 7-3-0 +18635
2 jetfan4340 8-2-0 +17385
3 wickpk 8-2-0 +17345
4 PMaeson 6-4-0 +16840
5 EiffelTower 7-3-0 +16625
6 swtknguy 2-8-0 +16515
7 faustobone 7-3-0 +16100
8 hobo 4-6-0 +15470
9 capt5189 5-4-1 +14360
10 Chrismano 6-4-0 +14322
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Toronto Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 hackorama 6-4-0 +19495
2 accxmass 5-4-1 +17505
3 Midway28 5-4-1 +15885
4 CastlemontDB91 6-3-1 +15740
5 Rossi35 7-3-0 +15250
6 CitoGMoney 3-6-1 +14955
7 Kowalabear1994 7-3-0 +14035
8 rapa76 7-3-0 +13985
9 captty55 4-6-0 +12990
10 sailorman1965 8-2-0 +12945
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