St. Louis @ Tampa Bay props

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Nathan Church will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Boyle today. Nathan Church has exhibited some good exit velocity stats in recent games, averaging 96.4-mph on his flyballs in the last week.

Chandler Simpson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Chandler Simpson's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 80-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 64.5-mph in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal angle of 0.8°, Chandler Simpson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.5°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Chandler Simpson's 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 0th percentile this year.

Thomas Saggese's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Thomas Saggese has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Thomas Saggese's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 14.3%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Willson Contreras's 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.

When assessing his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams today, the 12th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Everson Pereira will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Boyle in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Nolan Gorman's launch angle of late (28.3° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 22° seasonal mark.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams today, the 12th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last 7 days, Ha-seong Kim's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.8%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) suggests that Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .230 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Ivan Herrera has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Joe Boyle throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Over the past 7 days, Masyn Winn's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams today, the 12th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Joe Boyle today.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Pedro Pages has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Pedro Pages has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 93-mph in the last two weeks. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 16% on the season to 26.3% in the past 14 days.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams today, the 12th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nick Fortes has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.2-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph EV.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Robert Seymour will have the upper hand today. Out of all the teams today, the 12th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Robert Seymour will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Out of all the teams today, the 12th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage today.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hunter Feduccia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 12th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Feduccia will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Tristan Gray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today. Out of all the teams today, the 12th-weakest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tristan Gray will hold that advantage in today's game.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.