Final Aug 28
BOS 3 -193 o8.0
BAL 2 +176 u8.0
Final Aug 28
COL 3 +214 o8.5
HOU 4 -238 u8.5
Final Aug 28
AZ 6 +135 o9.0
MIL 4 -147 u9.0
Final Aug 28
PIT 1 +107 o8.5
STL 4 -115 u8.5
Final Aug 28
CHC 3 -103 o7.5
SF 4 -105 u7.5
Final Aug 28
ATL 4 +149 o10.0
PHI 19 -163 u10.0
Final Aug 28
MIA 7 +229 o9.0
NYM 4 -256 u9.0
Final Aug 28
NYY 10 -170 o9.0
CHW 4 +156 u9.0

Seattle @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cole Young Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cole Young
C. Young
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Cole Young's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) provides evidence that Cole Young has experienced some negative variance this year with his .309 actual wOBA. Cole Young has shown good plate discipline this year, placing in the 88th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Cole Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cole Young's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) provides evidence that Cole Young has experienced some negative variance this year with his .309 actual wOBA. Cole Young has shown good plate discipline this year, placing in the 88th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games today. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Trea Turner will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Over the last week, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games today. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Trea Turner will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Over the last week, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today. Bryson Stott has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.4-mph average.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today. Bryson Stott has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.4-mph average.

Dylan Moore Total Hits Props • Seattle

Dylan Moore
D. Moore
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Dylan Moore will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 18% to 22.8%. Ranking in the 77th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Dylan Moore demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important talent for achieving a high batting average.

Dylan Moore

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Dylan Moore will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 18% to 22.8%. Ranking in the 77th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Dylan Moore demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important talent for achieving a high batting average.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Seattle

Mitch Garver
M. Garver
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Mitch Garver will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Mitch Garver has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Mitch Garver will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Mitch Garver has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's game. In the past week, Julio Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's game. In the past week, Julio Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Over the past 14 days, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph recently. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 16.9% on the season to 37.5% in the last week. In terms of plate discipline, Jorge Polanco's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.81 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 76th percentile.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Over the past 14 days, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph recently. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 16.9% on the season to 37.5% in the last week. In terms of plate discipline, Jorge Polanco's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.81 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 76th percentile.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Randy Arozarena will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Randy Arozarena will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Eugenio Suarez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Eugenio Suarez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brandon Marsh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brandon Marsh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

J.P. Crawford's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.6% to 19.6%. J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .266 BA is a fair amount lower than his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

J.P. Crawford's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.6% to 19.6%. J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .266 BA is a fair amount lower than his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph. In the past 7 days, Max Kepler's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph. In the past 7 days, Max Kepler's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Seattle

Josh Naylor
J. Naylor
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Josh Naylor is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Josh Naylor has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark.

Josh Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Josh Naylor is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Josh Naylor has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 20th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today. By putting up a .292 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm has performed in the 96th percentile.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 20th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today. By putting up a .292 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm has performed in the 96th percentile.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has put up a .352 BABIP this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has put up a .352 BABIP this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 23.1%. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 21% on the season to 30.8% over the past week.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 23.1%. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 21% on the season to 30.8% over the past week.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Seattle

Donovan Solano
D. Solano
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Donovan Solano will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Donovan Solano's 25.6° mark (78th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Donovan Solano will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Donovan Solano's 25.6° mark (78th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test