Seattle @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Cole Young's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) provides evidence that Cole Young has experienced some negative variance this year with his .309 actual wOBA. Cole Young has shown good plate discipline this year, placing in the 88th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games today. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Trea Turner will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Over the last week, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today. Bryson Stott has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.4-mph average.

Dylan Moore will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 18% to 22.8%. Ranking in the 77th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Dylan Moore demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important talent for achieving a high batting average.

Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Mitch Garver will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Mitch Garver has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for righty base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's game. In the past week, Julio Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Over the past 14 days, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph recently. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 16.9% on the season to 37.5% in the last week. In terms of plate discipline, Jorge Polanco's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.81 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 76th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Randy Arozarena will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Eugenio Suarez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brandon Marsh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

J.P. Crawford's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.6% to 19.6%. J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .266 BA is a fair amount lower than his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph. In the past 7 days, Max Kepler's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Josh Naylor is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Josh Naylor has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark.

Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 20th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today. By putting up a .292 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm has performed in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has put up a .352 BABIP this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 23.1%. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 21% on the season to 30.8% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Donovan Solano will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Donovan Solano's 25.6° mark (78th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.