Seattle @ Philadelphia picks

There have been five total runs scored in each of Jesus Luzardo’s past two starts. 

This is a great price for a batter like Raleigh, who might be the best player in the AL right now. He is hitting the ball harder vs. LHP this year with an OPS better than 1.000 vs southpaws. He is also surrounded by right-handed bats, and some rain might even push Jesus Luzardo out of this game. Great price that I'd play to -140. 

Luis Castillo is not the same pitcher he once was, and Schwarber has also crushed him over his career. The Phillt two-hole hitter has four home runs vs. Castillo across 20 ABs with a 1.417 OPS. Schwarber has been piling up the bases of late with 19 bases in his last nine games. It's a great price for a TB monster in a good pitching matchup at home. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.. Over the past 14 days, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph recently.. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 16.9% on the season to 37.5% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the majors's 15th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Eugenio Suarez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his home run ability, Mitch Garver ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Mitch Garver will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) today.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Randy Arozarena will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) today.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The Seattle Mariners have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in this matchup, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. Among all starters, Jesus Luzardo's fastball spin rate of 2235 rpm ranks in the 18th percentile this year.