Toronto @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

TOR vs PIT Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Max Scherzer logo Max Scherzer u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

While the Pirates are swing-and-miss prone against righties with the eighth-highest strikeout percentage, Scherzer hasn’t been mowing down batters in bunches. He’s fanned five or fewer in six of his nine starts since returning to action, and his 8.67 K/9 and 24.1 K% hardly jump off the page. Additionally, Scherzer’s 85.2 zone-contact percentage is a career-high mark, while his overall 78.1 contact percentage is his highest since 2010.

Total Hits
Tommy Pham logo Tommy Pham u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Tommy was busy bat-flipping a walk last night and then spent the entire evening on social media backing up the move. There is a good chance he wears one today, which is why I'm backing his Under hits market at good plus money. Max Scherzer is likely not a fan of Pham running his mouth and Ernie Clemente also got hit later in that game, so the Pittsburgh suitcase who has played for 10 teams in eight years might be a target. He might not see many pitches to hit today and Max is going to pitch him tough.  

Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo Daulton Varsho o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Dalton Varsho might get moved up the order with the hamstring injury to Vladdy. This was a No.5 hitter who could move to the three or four hole and have more possible PAs as well as more run/RBI opportunities. It's also a favorable matchup vs. Mitch Keller, who can also be a very generous pitcher. It's lefty vs. righty and a great price for a visiting offense that I'd play to -130/-135. 

MoneyLine
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR (-145)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Kyle LaRusic image
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daulton Varsho is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°.. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.4% rate last year to 18.9% this year.. In the last week's worth of games, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.9% up to 30%.
Total RBIs
Jack Suwinski logo
Jack Suwinski o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°.. Jack Suwinski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's game.. Jack Suwinski has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9% rate last year to 14.8% this year.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Max Scherzer.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Tommy Pham logo
Tommy Pham o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.. Extreme flyball batters like Tommy Pham tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Scherzer.. Tommy Pham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.. Andrew McCutchen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Alejandro Kirk logo
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.. Over the last week, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 17.6%.. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Addison Barger ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Addison Barger is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°.. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today.. Addison Barger's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.4-mph now compared to just 88.1-mph then.
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill.. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 45% to 50%.. Bo Bichette has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 17.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 19.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
George Springer logo
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.. The Barrel% of George Springer has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.3% last year to 15.7% this season.. George Springer has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 107.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 96.9-mph.
Outs Recorded
Max Scherzer logo
Max Scherzer u17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 16.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the unluckiest offense in the league this year.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Max Scherzer (44.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 2 FB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected batting order.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Scherzer today.
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TOR vs PIT Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Toronto

70%
30%

Total PicksTOR 568, PIT 241

Moneyline
TOR
PIT
Moneyline

TOR vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Toronto

Myles Straw
M. Straw
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Myles Straw has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 89.2-mph. Myles Straw's launch angle in recent games (23.8° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 15.7° seasonal figure.

Myles Straw logo

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Myles Straw has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 89.2-mph. Myles Straw's launch angle in recent games (23.8° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 15.7° seasonal figure.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

Bo Bichette
B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers. Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bo Bichette today.

Bo Bichette logo

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers. Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bo Bichette today.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jared Triolo logo

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Daulton Varsho
D. Varsho
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Daulton Varsho logo

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, George Springer will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer in today's game.

George Springer logo

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, George Springer will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer in today's game.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game.

Andres Gimenez logo

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ty France
T. France
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Ty France has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 97.8-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Ty France logo

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Ty France has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 97.8-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers. Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alejandro Kirk in today's matchup.

Alejandro Kirk logo

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers. Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alejandro Kirk in today's matchup.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

Nathan Lukes
N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

Nathan Lukes logo

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

Addison Barger
A. Barger
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Addison Barger is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

Addison Barger logo

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Addison Barger is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Extreme groundball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Extreme groundball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

Ronny Simon Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ronny Simon
R. Simon
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ronny Simon has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Extreme groundball batters like Ronny Simon tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

Ronny Simon logo

Ronny Simon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ronny Simon has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Extreme groundball batters like Ronny Simon tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jack Suwinski
J. Suwinski
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Jack Suwinski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jack Suwinski logo

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Jack Suwinski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's game.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Ernie Clement has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph average.

Ernie Clement logo

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Ernie Clement has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph average.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for RHB base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.46
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Henry Davis has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Toronto Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 hackorama 6-4-0 +19495
2 accxmass 5-4-1 +17505
3 Midway28 5-4-1 +15885
4 CastlemontDB91 6-3-1 +15740
5 Rossi35 7-3-0 +15250
6 CitoGMoney 3-6-1 +14955
7 Kowalabear1994 7-3-0 +14035
8 rapa76 7-3-0 +13985
9 captty55 4-6-0 +12990
10 sailorman1965 8-2-0 +12945
All Blue Jays Money Leaders

Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
All Pirates Money Leaders
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