Toronto @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

TOR vs PIT Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Toronto Blue Jays logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo u7.0 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Kevin Gausman has had an up-and-down season, but he's looked more effective of late and faces a Pirates offense that struggles to put runs on the board at the best of times. The Blue Jays lineup has been a thorn in everyone's side, but Paul Skenes is cruising toward an NL Cy Young, and I like this pitcher's duel to finish somewhere in the 2-1 or 3-2 zone.

Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kevin Gausman.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Tommy Pham logo
Tommy Pham o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Tommy Pham is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tommy Pham has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.8-mph mark.
Total RBIs
Jack Suwinski logo
Jack Suwinski o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Jack Suwinski will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Jack Suwinski has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.9-mph figure.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 48.2% on the season to 73.3% over the last week.
Total RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's game.. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.4% rate last year to 18.9% this year.. Over the last week, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.9% up to 30%.
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average skill.. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. Over the past two weeks, Bo Bichette's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph lately.. Sporting a .353 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Bo Bichette is ranked in the 86th percentile for hitting ability.
Total RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge in today's matchup.. Addison Barger's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.5-mph now compared to just 88.1-mph then.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Alexander Canario logo
Alexander Canario o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Alexander Canario has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 9.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 24.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Alexander Canario's 12.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 85th percentile this year.. Alexander Canario's 95.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 84th percentile this year.
Outs Recorded
Kevin Gausman logo
Kevin Gausman u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 16.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) in charge of the strike zone today.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. Because of his reverse platoon split, Kevin Gausman will be at a disadvantage going up against 7 batters in the projected batting order of the same handedness in today's outing.
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TOR vs PIT Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

61% picking Toronto

61%
39%

Total PicksTOR 458, PIT 297

Moneyline
TOR
PIT

TOR vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance this year. His .250 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

Alexander Canario logo

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance this year. His .250 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Alejandro Kirk logo

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Ronny Simon Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ronny Simon
R. Simon
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ronny Simon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ronny Simon will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ronny Simon logo

Ronny Simon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ronny Simon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ronny Simon will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jared Triolo logo

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tommy Pham is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tommy Pham is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Ernie Clement has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph EV.

Ernie Clement logo

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Ernie Clement has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph EV.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

Nathan Lukes
N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup.

Nathan Lukes logo

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's game. Henry Davis's footspeed has increased this season. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.25 ft/sec now.

Henry Davis logo

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's game. Henry Davis's footspeed has increased this season. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.25 ft/sec now.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Joey Bart will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Joey Bart will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

Bo Bichette
B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average skill. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Bo Bichette logo

Bo Bichette

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average skill. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game.

Andres Gimenez logo

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

Addison Barger
A. Barger
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Addison Barger ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Addison Barger logo

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Addison Barger ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

Tyler Heineman Total Hits Props • Toronto

Tyler Heineman
T. Heineman
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. By putting up a .378 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Tyler Heineman finds himself in the 98th percentile. Tyler Heineman has notched a .316 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.

Tyler Heineman logo

Tyler Heineman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. By putting up a .378 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Tyler Heineman finds himself in the 98th percentile. Tyler Heineman has notched a .316 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jack Suwinski
J. Suwinski
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Jack Suwinski will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jack Suwinski logo

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Jack Suwinski will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

George Springer logo

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The #4 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Daulton Varsho
D. Varsho
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's game.

Daulton Varsho logo

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Toronto Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 hackorama 6-4-0 +19495
2 accxmass 5-4-1 +17505
3 Midway28 5-4-1 +15885
4 CastlemontDB91 6-3-1 +15740
5 Rossi35 7-3-0 +15250
6 CitoGMoney 3-6-1 +14955
7 Kowalabear1994 7-3-0 +14035
8 rapa76 7-3-0 +13985
9 captty55 4-6-0 +12990
10 sailorman1965 8-2-0 +12945
All Blue Jays Money Leaders

Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
All Pirates Money Leaders
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