Milwaukee @ Cincinnati picks

Martinez ranks in the eighth percentile in chase rate, 13th percentile in whiff rate, and 17th percentile in strikeout rate. Those struggles are likely to continue against Milwaukee, a team Martinez is 0-1 against with a 6.30 ERA over the past two meetings. He recorded three or fewer strikeouts in each of those starts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 55 pitches in this game (least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Misiorowski today.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Jacob Misiorowski has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 54.9% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.. Jacob Misiorowski has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 12.69 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.35 — a 2.34 K/9 difference.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for lefty home runs.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Noelvi Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Noelvi Marte has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 92.8-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Austin Hays will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. This season, Austin Hays has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.8 mph compared to last year's 91.6 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for lefty home runs.. The 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Anthony Seigler will have the handedness advantage over Nick Martinez in today's matchup.