The Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers in the opening matchup of this three-game series at Great American Ball Park. MLB odds list Milwaukee as a -138 favorite, while the total sits at 9.5.
My Brewers vs. Reds prediction targets a Nick Martinez prop in this NL Central matchup.
Read on for my MLB picks for Friday, August 15.
Brewers vs Reds prediction
Brewers vs Reds best bet: Nick Martinez Under 3.5 strikeouts (-106)
The Cincinnati Reds hand the ball to right-hander Nick Martinez, who profiles as a strong fade candidate. Through 26 appearances on the mound this season, Martinez has a 4.49 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.
His underlying metrics are equally poor, as he ranks in the bottom half of the league in expected ERA (xERA) and expected batting average (xBA). Martinez’s biggest weakness, however, is his inability to generate swings and misses.
He ranks in the eighth percentile in chase rate, 13th percentile in whiff rate, and 17th percentile in strikeout rate.
Those struggles are likely to continue against the Milwaukee Brewers, a team Martinez is 0-1 against with a 6.30 ERA over the past two meetings. He recorded three or fewer strikeouts in each of those starts.
This current Brewers roster has a below-average strikeout rate and whiff rate through 64 combined plate appearances against Martinez.
Brewers vs Reds same-game parlay (SGP)
Continuing the fade of Martinez, Milwaukee’s William Contreras has fared well against him. Through 13 plate appearances against the right-hander, Contreras boasts a .538 slugging percentage and one home run.
Contreras also enters this game in strong form, with three home runs over his past five games. He'll help power another Brewers victory.
Brewers vs Reds odds
- Moneyline: Milwaukee -138 | Cincinnati +118
- Run line: Milwaukee -1.5 | Cincinnati +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Brewers vs Reds trend
Martinez has recorded three or fewer strikeouts in each of his past two starts against Milwaukee. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Reds.
How to watch Brewers vs Reds and game info
| Location | Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, OH |
| Date | Friday, August 15, 2025 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | Apple TV+ |
| Brewers starting pitcher | TBD |
| Reds starting pitcher | Nick Martinez (10-9, 4.49 ERA) |
Brewers vs Reds latest injuries
Brewers vs Reds weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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