Detroit @ Minnesota Picks & Props

DET vs MIN Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal u18.5 Outs Recorded (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

There is some potential rain in Minnesota today that Kevin Roth has labeled as Orange/yellow and is projecting a possible delay. I don’t love betting on the weather, as things can always change, but there are other reasons why I like this Under. Tarik Skubal is not a 100-pitch pitcher and has hit triple digits just two times across 23 starts this year. THE BAT is projecting 95 pitches and 18.09 outs, and that’s not including the possible rain. Add in a road start, plus the Tigers are very comfortable in the division and should get the No.1 or 2 seed, and there is no need to push Skubal, who is coming off his shortest outing of the year — 4.2 innings vs. the Halos.

Earned Runs Allowed
Tarik Skubal logo Tarik Skubal u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-149)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

This Twins lineup is hitting just .150 against Tarik Skubal across 60 at-bats. That includes 24 strikeouts. While Skubal hit a bit of a rough patch, he had cashed the Under 1.5 earned runs mark in back-to-back outings to end July.

Total Hits
Edouard Julien logo
Edouard Julien o0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Tarik Skubal logo
Tarik Skubal u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+134)
Projection 7.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 10th-worst park in the game for strikeouts.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tarik Skubal in today's game.. Tarik Skubal struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous outing and compiled 2 Ks.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the majors's 7th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Ryan Jeffers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Over the past week, Spencer Torkelson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph in recent games.. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.6% to 26.3%.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today.. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Riley Greene stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Edouard Julien logo
Edouard Julien o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's game.. Edouard Julien has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.9-mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
MG
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Mickey Gasper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.9°, Mickey Gasper has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 58° figure in the past 7 days.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.238) implies that Mickey Gasper has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .195 actual wOBA.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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DET vs MIN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

72% picking Detroit

72%
28%

Total PicksDET 536, MIN 211

Moneyline
DET
MIN
Moneyline

DET vs MIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Edouard Julien
E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's game.

Edouard Julien logo

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's game.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When starting against a northpaw this year, Colt Keith has been pinch hit for 28% of the time. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 6th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Colt Keith today.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When starting against a northpaw this year, Colt Keith has been pinch hit for 28% of the time. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 6th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Colt Keith today.

Mickey Gasper Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Mickey Gasper
M. Gasper
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Mickey Gasper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.9°, Mickey Gasper has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 58° figure in the past 7 days.

Mickey Gasper logo

Mickey Gasper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Mickey Gasper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.9°, Mickey Gasper has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 58° figure in the past 7 days.

Alan Roden Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Alan Roden
A. Roden
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alan Roden will hold that advantage today. Alan Roden has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.1% seasonal rate to 7.7% in the last week.

Alan Roden logo

Alan Roden

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alan Roden will hold that advantage today. Alan Roden has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.1% seasonal rate to 7.7% in the last week.

Ryan Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Fitzgerald
R. Fitzgerald
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Fitzgerald will hold that advantage today.

Ryan Fitzgerald logo

Ryan Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Fitzgerald will hold that advantage today.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kody Clemens
K. Clemens
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kody Clemens logo

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Trevor Larnach
T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Trevor Larnach will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Trevor Larnach logo

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Trevor Larnach will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Luke Keaschall Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Luke Keaschall
L. Keaschall
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Luke Keaschall will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Luke Keaschall logo

Luke Keaschall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Luke Keaschall will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Baez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Ranking in the 84th percentile, Javier Baez has posted a .327 BABIP this year.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Baez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Ranking in the 84th percentile, Javier Baez has posted a .327 BABIP this year.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Ryan Jeffers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.

Ryan Jeffers logo

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Ryan Jeffers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Over the past week, Spencer Torkelson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph in recent games.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Over the past week, Spencer Torkelson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph in recent games.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Over the past week, Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph of late.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Over the past week, Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph of late.

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Bailey Ober in this game. Compared to last season, Wenceel Perez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 21.4% this season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Wenceel Perez's 63% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.8%.

Wenceel Perez logo

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Bailey Ober in this game. Compared to last season, Wenceel Perez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 21.4% this season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Wenceel Perez's 63% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.8%.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage today. Brooks Lee has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year's 85.8-mph figure.

Brooks Lee logo

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage today. Brooks Lee has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year's 85.8-mph figure.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Byron Buxton
B. Buxton
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Byron Buxton projects as the 19th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.

Byron Buxton logo

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Byron Buxton projects as the 19th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today.

Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Austin Martin
A. Martin
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Austin Martin is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Austin Martin will have an edge in today's matchup.

Austin Martin logo

Austin Martin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Austin Martin is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Austin Martin will have an edge in today's matchup.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Royce Lewis
R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage in today's game.

Royce Lewis logo

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage in today's game.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Dillon Dingler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure. Dillon Dingler has notched a .328 BABIP this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Dillon Dingler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure. Dillon Dingler has notched a .328 BABIP this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit

Trey Sweeney
T. Sweeney
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trey Sweeney can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Trey Sweeney has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .029 difference.

Trey Sweeney logo

Trey Sweeney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trey Sweeney can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Trey Sweeney has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .029 difference.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Compared to last season, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 50.9% this season.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Compared to last season, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 50.9% this season.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand today.

Kerry Carpenter logo

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Target Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
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Minnesota Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Midway28 7-3-0 +18635
2 jetfan4340 8-2-0 +17385
3 wickpk 8-2-0 +17345
4 PMaeson 6-4-0 +16840
5 EiffelTower 7-3-0 +16625
6 swtknguy 2-8-0 +16515
7 faustobone 7-3-0 +16100
8 hobo 4-6-0 +15470
9 capt5189 5-4-1 +14360
10 Chrismano 6-4-0 +14322
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