Miami @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
MIA vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown


Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I’ve already hit his Under 17.5 outs (buy to -110) as I’m expecting a short leash or a dud from the Cleveland starter. Gavin Williams is coming off a massive workload where he threw 126 pitches and lost a no-hitter bid after 19 outs. He was averaging around 92 pitches per start in his previous 10 games before that. The Marlins have been a scrappy offense since the deadline and are striking out at the 21st rate in baseball this month. It’s not a layup matchup, and betting on these angles is my favorite for pitchers. The Guardians are also in a tough playoff run, so pushing him with a great bullpen is not needed. I’d play this to -110/-115.
Total RBIs

Angel Martinez o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Angel Martinez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 4% seasonal rate to 9.1% over the past 7 days.
Total RBIs

Bo Naylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bo Naylor can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
CK
CJ Kayfus o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Collin Kayfus is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits.. In Major League Baseball, Progressive Field's RF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Collin Kayfus will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits.. In Major League Baseball, Progressive Field's RF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games today.
Total RBIs

Carlos Santana o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Daniel Schneemann o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Daniel Schneemann is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez today.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daniel Schneemann can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Total RBIs

Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field.. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand today.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games today.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.