Boston @ Houston picks

Carlos Correa has been on an absolute tear since rejoining the Astros at this year’s trade deadline, leading the club with a .364 average, 16 hits, and 24 total bases. Before Tuesday’s loss, Correa had an RBI in five straight contests and seven of his last eight games. Facing Red Sox SP Walker Buehler will only play into his hands tonight.

As it relates to his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Christian Walker has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

Victor Caratini is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Victor Caratini will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Walker Buehler in today's game.. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Victor Caratini's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 45.2% on the season to 68.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Victor Caratini has compiled a .270 batting average this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Posting a .332 BABIP this year, Trevor Story is ranked in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's game.. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the past 14 days, Jarren Duran's 59.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.1%.

In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest.. Despite posting a .209 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Wong has had bad variance on his side given the .087 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.. In notching a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Wong grades out in the 82nd percentile.

As it relates to his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Christian Walker has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Batters such as Alex Bregman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. This season, Alex Bregman has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.1 mph compared to last year's 90.9 mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Batters such as Alex Bregman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. This season, Alex Bregman has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.1 mph compared to last year's 90.9 mph mark.

Carlos Narvaez's 91.4-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the majors this year: 83rd percentile.